{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c6d9d016-2a37-4a99-817c-3354e6cb6a20",
    "symbol": "PROVIT",
    "name": "Provide IT Sweden AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.13,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -31.822,
    "architecture_energy": 18.309,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.341,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.123,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.31,
        "rotation_up": 24.75,
        "upward_expansion": 15.12,
        "deceleration": 34.77,
        "rotation_down": 33.58,
        "downward_expansion": 60.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.613,
        0.602909,
        0.650548,
        0.678473
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.705,
    "trend_reference": 0.713,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.01122,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.475202,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.522099,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -28.363028,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.090323,
    "excess_performance": -0.151817,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01122,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124079,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.522099,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09623,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.28363,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171122,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090323,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.942554,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 86669,
      "relative_activity": 1.88807,
      "balance": 3.942554,
      "dry_up": 0.852119,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.255319,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.366589,
      "from_high_reference": -0.6475,
      "from_low_reference": 0.711165
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.713,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.475202,
      "structural_low": 0.412,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": -0.042105,
        "positive_rate": 0.404255,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.595745,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037521,
        "regime_survival": 0.808511,
        "best_return": 0.875,
        "worst_return": -0.380645,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 63223.45,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 54452.75,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 61434.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 49576.2,
        "trend": 0.736167,
        "fair_value": 1.532084,
        "relative_strength": -40.613066,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.572994,
        "energy": 40.165509,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.525,
        "volume": 757,
        "typical_volume": 48737.05,
        "trend": 0.730333,
        "fair_value": 1.517702,
        "relative_strength": -46.967591,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.70514,
        "energy": 54.46439,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.558,
          0.605545,
          0.677524,
          0.699376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.565,
        "volume": 12193,
        "typical_volume": 46279.05,
        "trend": 0.727167,
        "fair_value": 1.503464,
        "relative_strength": -42.779909,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.14518,
        "energy": 51.943329,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.552,
          0.595364,
          0.663762,
          0.68871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.58,
        "volume": 56842,
        "typical_volume": 45099.95,
        "trend": 0.7165,
        "fair_value": 1.488988,
        "relative_strength": -40.928851,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.823856,
        "energy": 38.548456,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.563,
          0.588,
          0.651024,
          0.679215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.705,
        "volume": 86669,
        "typical_volume": 45903.5,
        "trend": 0.713,
        "fair_value": 1.475202,
        "relative_strength": -28.363028,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.822123,
        "energy": 18.308781,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.613,
          0.602909,
          0.650548,
          0.678473
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}