{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c6dd8521-ed0a-4912-b4e1-b7fb1c6c4d5d", "symbol": "001227", "name": "Bank of Lanzhou Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.403, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.608, "architecture_energy": 23.771, "architecture_maturity": 91.054, "architecture_confidence": 72.842, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.79, "rotation_up": 39.03, "upward_expansion": 19.97, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 23.49, "downward_expansion": 56.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.144667, 2.112223, 2.117808, 2.151789 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.14, "trend_reference": 2.196389, "distance_from_trend": -0.025674, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.327289, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080475, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.953079, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.061836, "excess_performance": -0.069235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.025674, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032751, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080475, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010214, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.089531, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153638, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.061836, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.591406, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 458281243, "relative_activity": 2.001564, "balance": 0.591406, "dry_up": 1.89717, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038275, "annualized_volatility": 0.140126, "from_high_reference": -0.142776, "from_low_reference": 0.07 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.196389, "fair_value_reference": 2.327289, "structural_low": 2.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.003564, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.21659, "worst_return": -0.057252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.012654, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.023037, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.163716, "worst_return": -0.049327, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.002714, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.154861, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.109243, "worst_return": -0.092706, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2.046751, 2.067743, 2.124228, 2.167011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.12, "volume": 379371696, "typical_volume": 218921983.85, "trend": 2.208501, "fair_value": 2.334028, "relative_strength": -8.056315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.508665, "energy": 53.850409, "activity_lines": [ 2.066713, 2.0732, 2.118623, 2.160976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.12, "volume": 436183152, "typical_volume": 220931659.2, "trend": 2.203133, "fair_value": 2.331681, "relative_strength": -7.691717, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.916082, "energy": 36.911868, "activity_lines": [ 2.086667, 2.080089, 2.114018, 2.155267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.21, "volume": 463680572, "typical_volume": 225103508.6, "trend": 2.200765, "fair_value": 2.329738, "relative_strength": -1.716665, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.048019, "energy": 17.323013, "activity_lines": [ 2.132667, 2.103518, 2.11889, 2.15571 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.14, "volume": 458281243, "typical_volume": 228961615.75, "trend": 2.196389, "fair_value": 2.327289, "relative_strength": -8.953079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.608451, "energy": 23.770753, "activity_lines": [ 2.144667, 2.112223, 2.117808, 2.151789 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }