{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c6e56177-4142-40f8-b09c-b8ff40127992", "symbol": "300838", "name": "Zhejiang Linuo Flow Control Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.756, "architecture_energy": 49.913, "architecture_maturity": 23.803, "architecture_confidence": 82.876, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.47, "rotation_up": 15.73, "upward_expansion": 7.04, "deceleration": 53.21, "rotation_down": 63.01, "downward_expansion": 80.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.428, 12.716182, 14.356048, 14.924645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.33, "trend_reference": 15.524667, "distance_from_trend": -0.141366, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.081689, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053381, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.328187, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.16947, "excess_performance": -0.17687, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.141366, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037847, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.053381, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.335079, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153282, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129828, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.16947, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.0105, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15234933, "relative_activity": 0.842611, "balance": 1.0105, "dry_up": 0.950422, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14519, "annualized_volatility": 0.561567, "from_high_reference": -0.403846, "from_low_reference": 0.300488 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.524667, "fair_value_reference": 14.081689, "structural_low": 10.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -8.3e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009687, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.183143, "worst_return": -0.142857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.130892, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.020372, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.308765, "worst_return": -0.306715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.095708, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.014679, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.108522, "worst_return": -0.261343, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030324, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.006292, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034459, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.117871, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.101399, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.144491, 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17814979.05, "trend": 15.701667, "fair_value": 14.144166, "relative_strength": -26.028663, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.583364, "energy": 78.39079, "activity_lines": [ 12.112, 13.175091, 14.839619, 15.289828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.3, "volume": 15619400, "typical_volume": 18013063.4, "trend": 15.588667, "fair_value": 14.109193, "relative_strength": -18.317479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.168568, "energy": 68.990793, "activity_lines": [ 12.088667, 12.767455, 14.539095, 15.070366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.33, "volume": 15234933, "typical_volume": 18080627.3, "trend": 15.524667, "fair_value": 14.081689, "relative_strength": -15.328187, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.756226, "energy": 49.913493, "activity_lines": [ 12.428, 12.716182, 14.356048, 14.924645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }