{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c6f1a524-e6fa-43ef-a15d-74531a2cd82b",
    "symbol": "VEU",
    "name": "VANGUARD INTL EQUITY INDEX FUND INC FTSE ALL-WORLD EX-US ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.494,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.371,
    "architecture_energy": 34.94,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.107,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.642,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.43,
        "rotation_up": 41.89,
        "upward_expansion": 70.35,
        "deceleration": 87.68,
        "rotation_down": 26.28,
        "downward_expansion": 8.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        81.364941
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 85.22,
    "trend_reference": 80.034879,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064786,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 62.544982,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.362539,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.073313,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.082803,
    "excess_performance": -0.042821,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064786,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046814,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.362539,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024053,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000733,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032203,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082803,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.900732,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14295383,
      "relative_activity": 1.063859,
      "balance": 1.900732,
      "dry_up": 1.147173,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031604,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.191048,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002925,
      "from_low_reference": 0.28516
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 80.034879,
      "fair_value_reference": 62.544982,
      "structural_low": 72.086561,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.015498,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006228,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.120368,
        "worst_return": -0.047608,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.015757,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035736,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.170914,
        "worst_return": -0.025959,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.046876,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.084274,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.010962,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.107214,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.090409,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.185269,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.014197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044563,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.014074,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.044107,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 14518847.95,
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        "fair_value": 62.106774,
        "relative_strength": 0.48282,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.85,
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        "typical_volume": 13799939.1,
        "trend": 79.710645,
        "fair_value": 62.317141,
        "relative_strength": 0.785992,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 38.373204,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 85.22,
        "volume": 14295383,
        "typical_volume": 13437284.95,
        "trend": 80.034879,
        "fair_value": 62.544982,
        "relative_strength": 0.073313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}