{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c6f75c14-977c-447c-a266-9f46d5ecf714",
    "symbol": "IFS",
    "name": "IFS Capital (Thailand) Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 59.403,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 39.678,
    "architecture_energy": 70.559,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.666,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.239,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.5,
        "rotation_up": 76.65,
        "upward_expansion": 60.31,
        "deceleration": 14.92,
        "rotation_down": 14.09,
        "downward_expansion": 30.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.953333,
        1.919455,
        1.883,
        1.885499
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.97,
    "trend_reference": 1.906467,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.033325,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.112631,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.067513,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.786075,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.021847,
    "excess_performance": -0.214172,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033325,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016237,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067513,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0917,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127861,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062515,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021847,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 10.155307,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 300000,
      "relative_activity": 1.486952,
      "balance": 10.155307,
      "dry_up": 0.86615,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021866,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.131748,
      "from_high_reference": -0.170526,
      "from_low_reference": 0.106742
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.906467,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.112631,
      "structural_low": 1.78,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.006667,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017795,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.125926,
        "worst_return": -0.023256,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.020362,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006714,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.274074,
        "worst_return": -0.078565,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.020362,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.089176,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.174765,
        "worst_return": -0.071194,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.041505,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.105401,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.135866,
        "worst_return": -0.093308,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.065574,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047619,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064573,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.12931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.086294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009524,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.028846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.065421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.036842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015464,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 2.353906,
        "volume": 111800,
        "typical_volume": 349525.0,
        "trend": 2.358048,
        "fair_value": 2.184862,
        "relative_strength": 5.032685,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.092679,
        "energy": 13.942068,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
        "close": 2.437974,
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        "typical_volume": 734100.0,
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        "fair_value": 2.18956,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 26.689787,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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        "relative_strength": 3.385136,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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        "relative_strength": 5.630772,
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        "energy": 58.11359,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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        "volume": 679300,
        "typical_volume": 855535.0,
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        "fair_value": 2.203425,
        "relative_strength": 7.248538,
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        "energy": 69.449922,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "typical_volume": 847205.0,
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        "relative_strength": 6.925501,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-06",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-20",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-27",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-10",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-29",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-05",
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        "volume": 1494900,
        "typical_volume": 930355.0,
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        "relative_strength": 3.584567,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-12",
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        "volume": 173300,
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        "fair_value": 2.26767,
        "relative_strength": 5.147779,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 29.247897,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "typical_volume": 260970.0,
        "trend": 1.9623,
        "fair_value": 2.15888,
        "relative_strength": -17.118175,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 72.270439,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 278655.0,
        "trend": 1.950967,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 285105.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 286335.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 458700,
        "typical_volume": 303755.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 299440.0,
        "trend": 1.929167,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 271490.0,
        "trend": 1.918533,
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        "relative_strength": -16.85227,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.610949,
        "energy": 27.71206,
        "activity_lines": [
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          1.87932
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.84,
        "volume": 77500,
        "typical_volume": 255690.0,
        "trend": 1.914,
        "fair_value": 2.125166,
        "relative_strength": -20.41366,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.533917,
        "energy": 26.742804,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.92,
        "volume": 484500,
        "typical_volume": 231550.0,
        "trend": 1.912767,
        "fair_value": 2.1226,
        "relative_strength": -17.052949,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 8.039757,
        "energy": 15.762669,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.868,
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          1.847776,
          1.874641
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.93,
        "volume": 155400,
        "typical_volume": 223835.0,
        "trend": 1.9106,
        "fair_value": 2.119882,
        "relative_strength": -17.066906,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 17.299155,
        "energy": 29.354632,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.892667,
          1.868364,
          1.854238,
          1.875753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.97,
        "volume": 190500,
        "typical_volume": 199960.0,
        "trend": 1.9104,
        "fair_value": 2.117529,
        "relative_strength": -15.225611,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.736035,
        "energy": 60.375132,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.924,
          1.889636,
          1.865,
          1.879585
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.94,
        "volume": 53100,
        "typical_volume": 188705.0,
        "trend": 1.907933,
        "fair_value": 2.115092,
        "relative_strength": -15.151747,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.139539,
        "energy": 62.513398,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.936667,
          1.902909,
          1.872667,
          1.881495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.97,
        "volume": 300000,
        "typical_volume": 201755.0,
        "trend": 1.906467,
        "fair_value": 2.112631,
        "relative_strength": -12.786075,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.677653,
        "energy": 70.558705,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.953333,
          1.919455,
          1.883,
          1.885499
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}