{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c6ff27a3-0c5d-4414-90af-0c8941ed7148",
    "symbol": "CEE",
    "name": "Central and Eastern Europe Fund Inc (The)",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.754,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 41.844,
    "architecture_energy": 19.202,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.27,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.012,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.86,
        "rotation_up": 31.81,
        "upward_expansion": 55.77,
        "deceleration": 84.72,
        "rotation_down": 24.4,
        "downward_expansion": 17.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.823333,
        20.859091,
        20.803524,
        20.387462
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 21.26,
    "trend_reference": 19.855,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.070763,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.343502,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.593285,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.294382,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.106715,
    "excess_performance": -0.01891,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070763,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080075,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.593285,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101596,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042944,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05867,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106715,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.464016,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 134622,
      "relative_activity": 1.117955,
      "balance": 1.464016,
      "dry_up": 0.98082,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05745,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.251407,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032537,
      "from_low_reference": 0.47139
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.855,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.343502,
      "structural_low": 17.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.025439,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012024,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.220082,
        "worst_return": -0.021694,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.153291,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.07858,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.259194,
        "worst_return": 0.063533,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.084187,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016547,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.387182,
        "worst_return": -0.11411,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.365489,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.053818,
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        "best_return": 0.655018,
        "worst_return": -0.618644,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-03-08",
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        "return": -0.034247,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053616,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 6.751213,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.473759,
        "energy": 27.585653,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 20.35,
        "volume": 129037,
        "typical_volume": 123952.85,
        "trend": 19.547842,
        "fair_value": 13.105219,
        "relative_strength": 4.41205,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.472793,
        "energy": 18.988529,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.762,
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          20.601048,
          20.15771
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.74,
        "volume": 92470,
        "typical_volume": 122178.85,
        "trend": 19.659,
        "fair_value": 13.184205,
        "relative_strength": 6.771232,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.344997,
        "energy": 18.551853,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.712,
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          20.234624
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.51,
        "volume": 116305,
        "typical_volume": 120823.95,
        "trend": 19.742,
        "fair_value": 13.261182,
        "relative_strength": 4.196397,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.597162,
        "energy": 14.804596,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.640667,
          20.792727,
          20.708238,
          20.289527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.26,
        "volume": 134622,
        "typical_volume": 120418.1,
        "trend": 19.855,
        "fair_value": 13.343502,
        "relative_strength": 4.294382,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.843855,
        "energy": 19.20179,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.823333,
          20.859091,
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          20.387462
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}