{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7099a7e-0d87-4f5f-8520-98d019e4f949", "symbol": "IXP", "name": "iShares Global Comm Services ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 82.615, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.522, "architecture_energy": 72.162, "architecture_maturity": 3.141, "architecture_confidence": 74.688, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.25, "rotation_up": 8.6, "upward_expansion": 15.48, "deceleration": 38.97, "rotation_down": 77.25, "downward_expansion": 91.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 2013.116659, 2031.483265, 2061.544456, 2067.341758 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2041.599976, "trend_reference": 2071.151839, "distance_from_trend": -0.014268, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1554.396447, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.313436, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.646599, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.014196, "excess_performance": 0.040471, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014268, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010664, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.313436, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128538, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.016466, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008688, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.014196, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.183022, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40, "relative_activity": 0.432199, "balance": 0.183022, "dry_up": 2.971367, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017815, "annualized_volatility": 0.144156, "from_high_reference": -0.05517, "from_low_reference": 0.044831 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2071.151839, "fair_value_reference": 1554.396447, 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"modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.157884, "energy": 40.282034, "activity_lines": [ 2057.651774, 2087.191251, 2087.42089, 2083.16589 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2024.0, "volume": 304, "typical_volume": 79.85, "trend": 2072.782503, "fair_value": 1539.070075, "relative_strength": -2.806694, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.408219, "energy": 47.562936, "activity_lines": [ 2040.533333, 2072.128862, 2081.476818, 2080.021126 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2024.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 66.85, "trend": 2072.821171, "fair_value": 1544.290832, "relative_strength": -2.2092, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.639503, "energy": 63.400137, "activity_lines": [ 2030.35, 2059.1282, 2075.927984, 2076.873868 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1954.0, "volume": 756, "typical_volume": 104.65, "trend": 2070.526506, "fair_value": 1549.06287, "relative_strength": -6.060792, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.116823, "energy": 92.988415, "activity_lines": [ 2004.7, 2035.461994, 2064.169578, 2069.207986 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2041.599976, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 92.55, "trend": 2071.151839, "fair_value": 1554.396447, "relative_strength": -1.646599, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.522092, "energy": 72.161931, "activity_lines": [ 2013.116659, 2031.483265, 2061.544456, 2067.341758 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }