{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7166abf-0841-4c59-af6b-4a66f17214b9", "symbol": "VGIT", "name": "VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TREASURY INDEX FUND ETF SHARES", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 49.625, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.95, "architecture_energy": 54.277, "architecture_maturity": 22.565, "architecture_confidence": 88.924, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.04, "rotation_up": 14.68, "upward_expansion": 11.14, "deceleration": 39.94, "rotation_down": 63.18, "downward_expansion": 86.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.295703, 58.412625, 58.526805, 58.664739 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 58.42, "trend_reference": 58.835747, "distance_from_trend": -0.007066, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 56.062595, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04205, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.276127, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.012307, "excess_performance": -0.199761, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.007066, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002557, "read": "Falling" 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58.125914, "volume": 10811554, "typical_volume": 15279374.3, "trend": 58.882115, "fair_value": 55.987613, "relative_strength": -9.574365, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.490134, "energy": 53.125715, "activity_lines": [ 58.389577, 58.495951, 58.602112, 58.739663 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.155814, "volume": 11812250, "typical_volume": 14836850.85, "trend": 58.85502, "fair_value": 56.023072, "relative_strength": -9.645472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.671541, "energy": 62.269028, "activity_lines": [ 58.271428, 58.4285, 58.549768, 58.692805 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.42, "volume": 17835284, "typical_volume": 14958958.65, "trend": 58.835747, "fair_value": 56.062595, "relative_strength": -13.276127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.949763, "energy": 54.277115, "activity_lines": [ 58.295703, 58.412625, 58.526805, 58.664739 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }