{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c718ba46-7f5e-4624-af2e-ce99b1fd81e0", "symbol": "NSP", "name": "Insperity Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 344, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "stage_color": "blue", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "stage_age_weeks": 10, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_score": 83.687, "is_transition_watch": true, "confidence": 82.534, "composite_score": 84.91, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_color": "green", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.255, "architecture_energy": 88.907, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.895, "architecture_age_weeks": 3, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.255, "energy": 88.907, "maturity": 26.0, "confidence": 85.895, "confirmation": 98.978, "age_weeks": 3, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Activity Lines are positively ordered above the 30-week Trend Line, with rising slopes and price acceptance. Fan expansion measures the energy of the move; contraction inside this regime warns that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.86, "rotation_up": 83.08, "upward_expansion": 99.48, "deceleration": 39.22, "rotation_down": 9.79, "downward_expansion": 21.48 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 48.766, "10": 45.362599, "20": 39.784508, "30": 36.38981 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": 1.546549, "10": 1.503076, "20": 1.207793, "30": 0.750464 }, "bullish_order": 1.0, "bearish_order": 0.0, "fan_width_atr": 2.360291, "fan_width_change_4": 0.815755, "fan_width_percentile": 0.913462, "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.71205, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.545684, "price_acceptance": 1.0, "current_fan_distance_atr": 0.351673, "accepted_above": 1.0, "accepted_below": 0.0, "crossing_density": 0.25 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "Price is repairing upward toward current Fair Value.", "body": "The market remains below the long-term Fair Value anchor, so the recovery stays in Stage 1. A narrowing gap, improving relative strength, range compression and eventual resistance absorption determine whether it can graduate to Stage 2.", "phase": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 84/100." }, "latest_close": 50.61, "sma_30": 34.279915, "distance_from_sma_30": 0.476375, "sma_30_slope": 0.075769, "fair_value": 66.881517, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.243289, "fair_value_gap_change_13": 0.367553, "is_fair_value_repair": true, "mansfield_rs": 23.698306, "mansfield_rs_change_13": 63.790558, "range_position_52": 0.859522, "returns": { "13": 0.805722, "26": 0.238143, "52": 0.207248 }, "relative_returns": { "26": 0.152823, "52": -0.007586 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 45.7, "2": 44.0, "3": 25.39, "4": 0.0 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": true, "value": 0.476375, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": true, "value": 0.075769, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.243289, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "13-week Fair Value gap", "positive": true, "value": 0.367553, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY", "positive": true, "value": 0.236983, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "13-week RS change", "positive": true, "value": 0.637906, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "26-week price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.238143, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "13-week volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.467237, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4569743, "ratio_20": 1.101293, "up_down_ratio_13": 3.467237, "dry_up_ratio": 0.841074, "accumulation_weeks": 4, "distribution_weeks": 1 }, "base": { "high_26": 52.33, "low_26": 18.242967, "depth": 0.651386, "compression": 0.605465, "breakout_distance": -0.032868 }, "risk": { "atr_percent": 0.103606, "annualized_volatility": 0.903699, 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fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. 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