{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c71a6f36-522f-44c3-87ce-8373f9ebaa80", "symbol": "BTSG", "name": "BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.87, "architecture_energy": 37.752, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.132, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.38, "rotation_up": 40.73, "upward_expansion": 70.74, "deceleration": 82.67, "rotation_down": 27.68, "downward_expansion": 18.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.502, 66.764727, 63.299286, 58.590839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 62.43, "trend_reference": 52.463, "distance_from_trend": 0.189982, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.655752, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.342084, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 28.08158, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.573337, "excess_performance": 0.385883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.189982, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.238094, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.342084, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090233, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.280816, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124015, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.573337, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.667048, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16335169, "relative_activity": 1.009815, "balance": 1.667048, "dry_up": 1.468641, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090329, "annualized_volatility": 0.426181, "from_high_reference": -0.15349, "from_low_reference": 2.026175 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.463, "fair_value_reference": 26.655752, "structural_low": 37.24, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.065356, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.051247, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.224169, "worst_return": -0.135014, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.488776, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.272856, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.526382, "worst_return": 0.145741, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.748839, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.681571, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.748839, "worst_return": 0.748839, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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80.167518, "energy": 90.429847, "activity_lines": [ 69.062667, 65.643455, 59.19919, 54.41086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 70.69, "volume": 46514973, "typical_volume": 16987514.9, "trend": 49.750667, "fair_value": 25.7705, "relative_strength": 58.558803, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.570119, "energy": 77.739768, "activity_lines": [ 70.031333, 67.055636, 60.834238, 55.833183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 72.91, "volume": 15270236, "typical_volume": 16198733.3, "trend": 50.922667, "fair_value": 26.130344, "relative_strength": 62.76546, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.834829, "energy": 69.836739, "activity_lines": [ 71.242667, 68.583091, 62.541381, 57.327333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.71, "volume": 16908843, "typical_volume": 16499537.35, "trend": 51.633, "fair_value": 26.384735, "relative_strength": 30.604814, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.16064, "energy": 55.973282, "activity_lines": [ 67.61, 67.437636, 62.841762, 57.894258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.43, "volume": 16335169, "typical_volume": 16176390.3, "trend": 52.463, "fair_value": 26.655752, "relative_strength": 28.08158, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.869882, "energy": 37.751893, "activity_lines": [ 65.502, 66.764727, 63.299286, 58.590839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }