{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c71c1ea0-6565-44b0-bef8-0dbb38a17355",
    "symbol": "0926",
    "name": "Besunyen Holdings Company Limited",
    "exchange": "HKG",
    "country": "HK",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-09-04",
    "benchmark": "^HSI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 80.564,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.429,
    "architecture_energy": 34.553,
    "architecture_maturity": 81.518,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.822,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.51,
        "rotation_up": 30.19,
        "upward_expansion": 18.73,
        "deceleration": 44.16,
        "rotation_down": 37.72,
        "downward_expansion": 66.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.410667,
        2.406909,
        2.419619,
        2.432667
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.38,
    "trend_reference": 2.457333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.03147,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.297655,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035839,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.134284,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.044177,
    "excess_performance": -0.040045,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03147,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011133,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035839,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043634,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041343,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048288,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044177,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.576674,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2650,
      "relative_activity": 0.484129,
      "balance": 1.576674,
      "dry_up": 2.221968,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010019,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.106838,
      "from_high_reference": -0.167832,
      "from_low_reference": 0.025862
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.457333,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.297655,
      "structural_low": 2.37,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.030612,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04297,
        "regime_survival": 0.809524,
        "best_return": 0.654999,
        "worst_return": -0.312884,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.003238,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.078197,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.156351,
        "worst_return": -0.523292,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.049833,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009433,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.236,
        "worst_return": -0.658889,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.205594,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.136509,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.237856,
        "worst_return": -0.658358,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.061856,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.027523,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
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        "return": 0.176787,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.098859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.05618,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.028112,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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          2.491238,
          2.493548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2.45,
        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 12677.5,
        "trend": 2.488333,
        "fair_value": 2.256629,
        "relative_strength": 0.326998,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -10.637431,
        "energy": 8.099826,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.474,
          2.47,
          2.484571,
          2.490796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.44,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 11677.5,
        "trend": 2.485667,
        "fair_value": 2.260363,
        "relative_strength": 0.694474,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.157568,
        "energy": 14.977242,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.463333,
          2.464727,
          2.477429,
          2.487677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.44,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 11330.0,
        "trend": 2.482,
        "fair_value": 2.264314,
        "relative_strength": 1.462425,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.18303,
        "energy": 25.085765,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.452,
          2.460182,
          2.471333,
          2.484731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2.45,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9030.0,
        "trend": 2.484,
        "fair_value": 2.267939,
        "relative_strength": 5.184093,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.721213,
        "energy": 41.015258,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.448667,
          2.457273,
          2.467286,
          2.482667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2.45,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8721.25,
        "trend": 2.485,
        "fair_value": 2.271867,
        "relative_strength": 10.661899,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.455927,
        "energy": 50.548797,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.446667,
          2.455273,
          2.463857,
          2.480473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.43,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8621.25,
        "trend": 2.487,
        "fair_value": 2.27571,
        "relative_strength": 6.413025,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.516014,
        "energy": 54.257242,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.441333,
          2.450545,
          2.458857,
          2.476925
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.4,
        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 8421.25,
        "trend": 2.487667,
        "fair_value": 2.279145,
        "relative_strength": 1.314537,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.911357,
        "energy": 69.203584,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.427333,
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          2.451905,
          2.471312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.41,
        "volume": 9000,
        "typical_volume": 7321.25,
        "trend": 2.488333,
        "fair_value": 2.28286,
        "relative_strength": -0.064647,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.925791,
        "energy": 68.329872,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.419333,
          2.432182,
          2.447,
          2.466301
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.39,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7150.0,
        "trend": 2.488333,
        "fair_value": 2.285841,
        "relative_strength": -2.663036,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.926464,
        "energy": 79.49739,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.406667,
          2.422364,
          2.440714,
          2.459957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.39,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 6100.0,
        "trend": 2.488333,
        "fair_value": 2.288388,
        "relative_strength": -6.114042,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.415765,
        "energy": 80.402196,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.398,
          2.414,
          2.434905,
          2.453613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.39,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 6100.0,
        "trend": 2.483,
        "fair_value": 2.29072,
        "relative_strength": -4.928895,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.280791,
        "energy": 89.186812,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.393333,
          2.407636,
          2.429381,
          2.447269
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 2.4,
        "volume": 24500,
        "typical_volume": 5916.25,
        "trend": 2.474333,
        "fair_value": 2.293505,
        "relative_strength": -2.205962,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.266431,
        "energy": 88.169205,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.394667,
          2.404182,
          2.42519,
          2.441914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 2.45,
        "volume": 3000,
        "typical_volume": 5966.25,
        "trend": 2.467,
        "fair_value": 2.295787,
        "relative_strength": -3.246239,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.20546,
        "energy": 57.117897,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.412667,
          2.410545,
          2.426143,
          2.440344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "close": 2.43,
        "volume": 18500,
        "typical_volume": 5341.25,
        "trend": 2.462,
        "fair_value": 2.298029,
        "relative_strength": -2.151735,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.370814,
        "energy": 26.157098,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.421333,
          2.413091,
          2.425095,
          2.437957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-04",
        "close": 2.38,
        "volume": 2650,
        "typical_volume": 5473.75,
        "trend": 2.457333,
        "fair_value": 2.297655,
        "relative_strength": -4.134284,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.428507,
        "energy": 34.552542,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.410667,
          2.406909,
          2.419619,
          2.432667
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}