{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c71f326c-9891-40fd-911d-ad748fa3bfc1", "symbol": "603106", "name": "Cashway Fintech Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.641, "architecture_energy": 18.601, "architecture_maturity": 99.052, "architecture_confidence": 87.213, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.02, "rotation_up": 30.13, "upward_expansion": 18.27, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 30.12, "downward_expansion": 68.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.567333, 7.30199, 7.598364, 8.073251 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.04, "trend_reference": 8.809251, "distance_from_trend": 0.026194, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.102302, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.115732, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.461928, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.131604, "excess_performance": -0.0884, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026194, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130575, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.115732, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029977, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064619, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123998, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.131604, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.598209, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 327292729, "relative_activity": 8.100294, "balance": 1.598209, "dry_up": 2.703666, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085537, "annualized_volatility": 0.459896, "from_high_reference": -0.352899, "from_low_reference": 0.465154 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.809251, "fair_value_reference": 8.102302, "structural_low": 6.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.005814, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.00394, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.880266, "worst_return": -0.297256, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.03653, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.042899, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 1.109005, "worst_return": -0.228261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.267154, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.256762, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.255925, "worst_return": -0.206767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-83.734984, "energy": 71.983504, "activity_lines": [ 6.854, 7.104815, 7.759519, 8.344848 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.22, "volume": 29205230, "typical_volume": 24943388.35, "trend": 8.965251, "fair_value": 8.067059, "relative_strength": -34.361864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.646036, "energy": 72.474537, "activity_lines": [ 6.605333, 6.888787, 7.560531, 8.15838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.47, "volume": 42487284, "typical_volume": 25494457.5, "trend": 8.864251, "fair_value": 8.079425, "relative_strength": -20.890715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.649716, "energy": 61.866096, "activity_lines": [ 6.832, 6.944507, 7.499019, 8.061912 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.04, "volume": 327292729, "typical_volume": 40405043.6, "trend": 8.809251, "fair_value": 8.102302, "relative_strength": -6.461928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.640719, "energy": 18.600668, "activity_lines": [ 7.567333, 7.30199, 7.598364, 8.073251 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }