{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7210aee-7839-4995-b2a2-42bfdbf719ad", "symbol": "LIAM", "name": "LifeX 2055 Inflation-Protected Longevity Income ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.803, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.806, "architecture_energy": 79.518, "architecture_maturity": 7.671, "architecture_confidence": 77.298, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.85, "rotation_up": 8.38, "upward_expansion": 18.78, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 78.24, "downward_expansion": 94.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 229.771513, 231.586219, 233.113436, 233.842766 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 229.8702, "trend_reference": 234.772813, "distance_from_trend": -0.020882, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 232.106327, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.009634, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.075803, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.025422, "excess_performance": -0.151047, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020882, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004082, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.009634, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029415, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.130758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027625, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.025422, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.602819, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73, "relative_activity": 0.082286, "balance": 2.602819, "dry_up": 0.246858, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010911, "annualized_volatility": 0.065625, "from_high_reference": -0.049445, "from_low_reference": 0.010388 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 234.772813, "fair_value_reference": 232.106327, "structural_low": 227.506783, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.026182, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.099746, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.026182, "worst_return": 0.026182, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.027417, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.125177, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.027417, "worst_return": 0.027417, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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232.106327, "relative_strength": -13.075803, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.805642, "energy": 79.51789, "activity_lines": [ 229.771513, 231.586219, 233.113436, 233.842766 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }