{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c723a6ea-850b-4a93-9f68-29759ea3cffb", "symbol": "VIF", "name": "Vanguard International Fixed Interest Index (Hedged) ETF", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 67.305, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.016, "architecture_energy": 69.31, "architecture_maturity": 54.305, "architecture_confidence": 87.467, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.07, "rotation_up": 28.25, "upward_expansion": 16.11, "deceleration": 41.24, "rotation_down": 49.81, "downward_expansion": 87.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.769999, 35.832338, 35.937424, 36.245506 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.849998, "trend_reference": 36.66463, "distance_from_trend": -0.022218, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.380536, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014583, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.91347, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.045693, "excess_performance": -0.109398, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022218, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014514, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014583, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000892, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.079135, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039854, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.045693, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.919783, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 177334, "relative_activity": 1.037409, "balance": 1.919783, "dry_up": 1.312258, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00673, "annualized_volatility": 0.071168, "from_high_reference": -0.061626, "from_low_reference": 0.014157 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.66463, "fair_value_reference": 36.380536, "structural_low": 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-3.450373, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.473731, "energy": 43.545253, "activity_lines": [ 35.905735, 35.901104, 36.113809, 36.447097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.599998, "volume": 189658, "typical_volume": 162892.55, "trend": 36.775299, "fair_value": 36.368673, "relative_strength": -3.714635, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.7826, "energy": 56.244391, "activity_lines": [ 35.790809, 35.854618, 36.032627, 36.367154 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.759998, "volume": 252845, "typical_volume": 167953.9, "trend": 36.720237, "fair_value": 36.374789, "relative_strength": -5.362322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.274851, "energy": 76.232447, "activity_lines": [ 35.751999, 35.836501, 35.976876, 36.301651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.849998, "volume": 177334, "typical_volume": 170939.35, "trend": 36.66463, "fair_value": 36.380536, "relative_strength": -7.91347, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.015554, "energy": 69.309665, "activity_lines": [ 35.769999, 35.832338, 35.937424, 36.245506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }