{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c740cbf0-d03c-4048-a1dc-576dec9e7b58",
    "symbol": "UDR",
    "name": "UDR Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.997,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.609,
    "architecture_energy": 22.72,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.536,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.54,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.83,
        "rotation_up": 27.15,
        "upward_expansion": 60.16,
        "deceleration": 90.06,
        "rotation_down": 26.42,
        "downward_expansion": 14.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.837709,
        39.165826,
        38.473756,
        37.757427
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 38.41,
    "trend_reference": 37.147761,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.033979,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.867157,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.041849,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.141947,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.035667,
    "excess_performance": -0.089958,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033979,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040283,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041849,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035561,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061419,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042921,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035667,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.363495,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17501940,
      "relative_activity": 0.901078,
      "balance": 1.363495,
      "dry_up": 0.912126,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046202,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218656,
      "from_high_reference": -0.082141,
      "from_low_reference": 0.194634
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.147761,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.867157,
      "structural_low": 33.062431,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.018421,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001646,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.110412,
        "worst_return": -0.091993,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.021368,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035804,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.097263,
        "worst_return": -0.116249,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.083717,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076248,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.089999,
        "worst_return": -0.208148,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.142265,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.190073,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.136881,
        "worst_return": -0.147649,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036541,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.209971,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.110412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031891,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05954,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.077584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.011938,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016278,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.003946,
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 19140164.95,
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        "fair_value": 36.803171,
        "relative_strength": 0.11155,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.69414,
        "energy": 58.491854,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 11174671,
        "typical_volume": 18958708.95,
        "trend": 36.987151,
        "fair_value": 36.828639,
        "relative_strength": 0.571195,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 58.197757,
        "energy": 48.656935,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.16,
        "volume": 28062508,
        "typical_volume": 19502592.8,
        "trend": 37.065404,
        "fair_value": 36.846132,
        "relative_strength": -3.78013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.225396,
        "energy": 30.330887,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.236798,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.41,
        "volume": 17501940,
        "typical_volume": 19423344.6,
        "trend": 37.147761,
        "fair_value": 36.867157,
        "relative_strength": -6.141947,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.608567,
        "energy": 22.71979,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}