{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c74725c2-743f-44a2-944b-f887a07bb0b6",
    "symbol": "CTAI",
    "name": "Catenai PLC",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.783,
    "architecture_energy": 68.114,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.542,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.14,
        "rotation_up": 16.33,
        "upward_expansion": 15.44,
        "deceleration": 39.15,
        "rotation_down": 63.81,
        "downward_expansion": 88.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.001509,
        0.001631,
        0.001985,
        0.002168
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.00155,
    "trend_reference": 0.002343,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.338361,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.003288,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.528591,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -47.598377,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.367347,
    "excess_performance": -0.418582,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.338361,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140831,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.528591,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.316264,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.475984,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.369611,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.367347,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.751864,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6573419,
      "relative_activity": 0.255952,
      "balance": 0.751864,
      "dry_up": 0.602994,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.280397,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.928967,
      "from_high_reference": -0.765152,
      "from_low_reference": 0.192308
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.002343,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.003288,
      "structural_low": 0.0013,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": -0.057143,
        "positive_rate": 0.146341,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.536585,
        "median_excess_return": -0.056706,
        "regime_survival": 0.902439,
        "best_return": 0.404762,
        "worst_return": -0.3125,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.190909,
        "positive_rate": 0.214286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.183705,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.133333,
        "worst_return": -0.5,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.412449,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.478603,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 1.966667,
        "worst_return": -0.590909,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.562899,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.601739,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.466667,
        "worst_return": -0.763158,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.5,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "return": 0.275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.676471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.150538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.4,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.138298,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.307692,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.173077,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.396552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 73819275.8,
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        "fair_value": 0.003405,
        "relative_strength": -49.17317,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.099023,
        "energy": 76.645004,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.00164,
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          0.002345
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.00138,
        "volume": 11375124,
        "typical_volume": 71895541.7,
        "trend": 0.002406,
        "fair_value": 0.003361,
        "relative_strength": -53.433056,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.981174,
        "energy": 78.631329,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001517,
          0.001769,
          0.002138,
          0.002276
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.00155,
        "volume": 36272672,
        "typical_volume": 46588003.35,
        "trend": 0.002378,
        "fair_value": 0.003325,
        "relative_strength": -48.009132,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.854672,
        "energy": 74.367205,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001508,
          0.001692,
          0.002058,
          0.002221
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.00155,
        "volume": 6573419,
        "typical_volume": 25682273.3,
        "trend": 0.002343,
        "fair_value": 0.003288,
        "relative_strength": -47.598377,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.782634,
        "energy": 68.114349,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001509,
          0.001631,
          0.001985,
          0.002168
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}