{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c74f5e6e-a2d7-4f76-8162-8055f43d966e", "symbol": "ETR", "name": "Entergy Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 73.862, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.846, "architecture_energy": 8.643, "architecture_maturity": 23.778, "architecture_confidence": 75.212, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.49, "rotation_up": 23.85, "upward_expansion": 47.15, "deceleration": 78.75, "rotation_down": 34.16, "downward_expansion": 31.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 110.384, 111.819648, 111.876051, 110.831577 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 107.18, "trend_reference": 108.166363, "distance_from_trend": -0.009119, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 74.618786, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.436368, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.34425, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.107308, "excess_performance": -0.018317, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009119, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062401, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.436368, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170036, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053443, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107581, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107308, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.829012, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12229634, "relative_activity": 0.761499, "balance": 0.829012, "dry_up": 0.846592, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045909, "annualized_volatility": 0.26396, "from_high_reference": -0.089986, "from_low_reference": 0.263971 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 108.166363, "fair_value_reference": 74.618786, "structural_low": 96.429938, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.007038, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014542, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.033695, "worst_return": -0.083341, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.01155, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018231, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.041217, "worst_return": -0.112797, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.052134, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.13686, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.124069, "worst_return": -0.153274, 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"trend": 107.177974, "fair_value": 73.806147, "relative_strength": 7.165817, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.027771, "energy": 47.156046, "activity_lines": [ 114.889177, 113.631419, 112.695169, 110.834924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 107.62, "volume": 16997926, "typical_volume": 16180252.55, "trend": 107.673903, "fair_value": 74.213503, "relative_strength": -1.635984, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.980381, "energy": 14.749357, "activity_lines": [ 112.455333, 112.72783, 112.312794, 110.863441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.18, "volume": 12229634, "typical_volume": 16059952.8, "trend": 108.166363, "fair_value": 74.618786, "relative_strength": -5.34425, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.846422, "energy": 8.643226, "activity_lines": [ 110.384, 111.819648, 111.876051, 110.831577 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }