{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c75de546-5282-40fc-90a3-fd88e55a554c",
    "symbol": "PR1E",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Prime Europe UCITS ETF DR",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.42,
    "architecture_energy": 86.1,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.054,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.838,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.68,
        "rotation_up": 69.7,
        "upward_expansion": 97.0,
        "deceleration": 42.14,
        "rotation_down": 18.83,
        "downward_expansion": 21.34
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.657333,
        37.377181,
        36.750714,
        36.126312
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 37.67,
    "trend_reference": 35.4315,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.063178,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.717372,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267609,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.444329,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.064124,
    "excess_performance": 0.029451,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063178,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040247,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.267609,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022072,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034443,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031716,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064124,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.726557,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7650,
      "relative_activity": 0.639884,
      "balance": 1.726557,
      "dry_up": 0.748434,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013967,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.145172,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009596,
      "from_low_reference": 0.246825
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.4315,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.717372,
      "structural_low": 31.48,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.01118,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002525,
        "regime_survival": 0.775,
        "best_return": 0.073764,
        "worst_return": -0.057759,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.029146,
        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014985,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.091132,
        "worst_return": -0.033377,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006866,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.159879,
        "worst_return": -0.1172,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.121168,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.00874,
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        "worst_return": -0.052534,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-12-22",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "typical_volume": 20313.45,
        "trend": 33.449596,
        "fair_value": 28.525418,
        "relative_strength": 6.76751,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 53.773936,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 20817.25,
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        "fair_value": 28.588984,
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        "energy": 34.531549,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 22129.25,
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        "fair_value": 28.662332,
        "relative_strength": 6.615934,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 23013.9,
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        "relative_strength": 5.464168,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 28.80857,
        "relative_strength": 6.402376,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 61.691344,
        "energy": 53.584262,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 3057,
        "typical_volume": 19859.5,
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        "fair_value": 28.882998,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 70.446771,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 36.369999,
        "volume": 1618,
        "typical_volume": 18927.35,
        "trend": 34.224983,
        "fair_value": 28.963091,
        "relative_strength": 7.134428,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 72.178538,
        "energy": 74.962069,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 36.474998,
        "volume": 686,
        "typical_volume": 18066.9,
        "trend": 34.366487,
        "fair_value": 29.040846,
        "relative_strength": 8.469049,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 29.129727,
        "relative_strength": 6.321906,
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        "energy": 89.855076,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 15673.25,
        "trend": 34.682,
        "fair_value": 29.210164,
        "relative_strength": 7.129614,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.88374,
        "energy": 84.340524,
        "activity_lines": [
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          35.601976,
          35.19972
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.77,
        "volume": 2218,
        "typical_volume": 15421.05,
        "trend": 34.811833,
        "fair_value": 29.288748,
        "relative_strength": 7.659448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.572456,
        "energy": 83.652194,
        "activity_lines": [
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          35.33443
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 12321,
        "typical_volume": 14349.15,
        "trend": 34.945333,
        "fair_value": 29.366505,
        "relative_strength": 6.693366,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.826524,
        "energy": 82.121776,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.909666,
          36.664545,
          35.951833,
          35.472054
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.27,
        "volume": 5791,
        "typical_volume": 13722.4,
        "trend": 35.0735,
        "fair_value": 29.450154,
        "relative_strength": 5.120548,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.993477,
        "energy": 72.089293,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.035333,
          36.821909,
          36.14719,
          35.622032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.895,
        "volume": 12324,
        "typical_volume": 13480.1,
        "trend": 35.198333,
        "fair_value": 29.537897,
        "relative_strength": 3.809679,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.85478,
        "energy": 83.19228,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.316333,
          37.064363,
          36.384047,
          35.804064
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 37.834999,
        "volume": 10026,
        "typical_volume": 12567.75,
        "trend": 35.311833,
        "fair_value": 29.628769,
        "relative_strength": 2.932825,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.743894,
        "energy": 86.520954,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.548333,
          37.256,
          36.58819,
          35.974172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 37.67,
        "volume": 7650,
        "typical_volume": 11955.3,
        "trend": 35.4315,
        "fair_value": 29.717372,
        "relative_strength": 3.444329,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.419934,
        "energy": 86.100097,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.657333,
          37.377181,
          36.750714,
          36.126312
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}