{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c77f8bb6-a196-4470-a5fd-7a6bed0e9587", "symbol": "300148", "name": "Tangel Culture Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.897, "architecture_energy": 42.872, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.725, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.03, "rotation_up": 27.38, "upward_expansion": 19.19, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 41.37, "downward_expansion": 69.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.318, 3.276182, 3.476286, 3.732108 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.47, "trend_reference": 4.096333, "distance_from_trend": -0.152901, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.996667, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131776, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.967628, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.33652, "excess_performance": -0.34392, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.152901, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095666, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.131776, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150088, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.239676, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038317, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.33652, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.627997, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 173340879, "relative_activity": 1.662802, "balance": 0.627997, "dry_up": 1.347024, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082465, "annualized_volatility": 0.304637, "from_high_reference": -0.434853, "from_low_reference": 0.145215 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.096333, "fair_value_reference": 3.996667, "structural_low": 3.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.002021, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024861, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.256705, "worst_return": -0.264789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.089844, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.049299, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.566524, "worst_return": -0.278873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.170213, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.107578, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.990385, "worst_return": -0.295195, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -35.692398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.941705, "energy": 84.586865, "activity_lines": [ 3.22, 3.368182, 3.694333, 3.964989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.17, "volume": 143273080, "typical_volume": 109203805.75, "trend": 4.201333, "fair_value": 4.028846, "relative_strength": -30.345821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.906662, "energy": 66.879033, "activity_lines": [ 3.198667, 3.299818, 3.617429, 3.895806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.1, "volume": 109528336, "typical_volume": 102713072.85, "trend": 4.159, "fair_value": 4.015577, "relative_strength": -31.258351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.073842, "energy": 66.663218, "activity_lines": [ 3.166667, 3.238545, 3.542714, 3.824753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.38, "volume": 135546670, "typical_volume": 101940565.25, "trend": 4.127, "fair_value": 4.005, "relative_strength": -23.013313, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.025137, "energy": 57.461292, "activity_lines": [ 3.237333, 3.245273, 3.502381, 3.774495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.47, "volume": 173340879, "typical_volume": 104246269.0, "trend": 4.096333, "fair_value": 3.996667, "relative_strength": -23.967628, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.897497, "energy": 42.872353, "activity_lines": [ 3.318, 3.276182, 3.476286, 3.732108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }