{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c789978e-23eb-4b53-bbe1-b7be43ac4831", "symbol": "6177", "name": "Da-Li Development Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.995, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 23.209, "architecture_energy": 32.65, "architecture_maturity": 9.337, "architecture_confidence": 39.275, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.9, "rotation_up": 53.37, "upward_expansion": 53.45, "deceleration": 27.4, "rotation_down": 22.8, "downward_expansion": 16.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.029999, 47.519091, 46.821429, 46.76785 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 47.75, "trend_reference": 46.965, "distance_from_trend": 0.016715, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.059484, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.162947, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.862492, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.001048, "excess_performance": -0.440324, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016715, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011679, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.162947, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003281, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.288625, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.001048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.066612, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8519819, "relative_activity": 1.172495, "balance": 1.066612, "dry_up": 0.964371, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061458, "annualized_volatility": 0.266988, "from_high_reference": -0.15636, "from_low_reference": 0.168911 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.965, "fair_value_reference": 41.059484, "structural_low": 41.549999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.013115, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": 0.024635, "regime_survival": 0.411765, "best_return": 0.158748, "worst_return": -0.053775, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.019713, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.061738, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.147928, "worst_return": -0.085744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.074836, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.023653, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.106007, "worst_return": -0.001664, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 47.289999, 46.999091, 46.484048, 46.634731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.799999, "volume": 7133912, "typical_volume": 6981164.85, "trend": 47.18, "fair_value": 40.901954, "relative_strength": -25.365846, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.980644, "energy": 29.275637, "activity_lines": [ 47.943332, 47.412727, 46.70381, 46.731075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 47.75, "volume": 8519819, "typical_volume": 7266401.95, "trend": 46.965, "fair_value": 41.059484, "relative_strength": -28.862492, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.208564, "energy": 32.649616, "activity_lines": [ 48.029999, 47.519091, 46.821429, 46.76785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }