{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c790e772-e417-490b-ab3f-fa8ab6d4870d", "symbol": "MAXENT-B", "name": "Maximum Entertainment AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 89.651, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -12.495, "architecture_energy": 19.723, "architecture_maturity": 39.229, "architecture_confidence": 77.271, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.19, "rotation_up": 15.06, "upward_expansion": 14.35, "deceleration": 69.35, "rotation_down": 55.08, "downward_expansion": 39.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.293333, 0.365309, 0.377221, 0.3451 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.299, "trend_reference": 0.301017, "distance_from_trend": -0.0067, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.433513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.791421, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.907946, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.444444, "excess_performance": 0.38295, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0067, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.286396, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.791421, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040299, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094152, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.444444, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.096322, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73308, "relative_activity": 0.104821, "balance": 1.096322, "dry_up": 0.154583, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.649859, "annualized_volatility": 1.982542, "from_high_reference": -0.728182, "from_low_reference": 1.128114 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.301017, "fair_value_reference": 1.433513, "structural_low": 0.1405, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.560498, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.274194, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.135593, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.003344, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": 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"close": 0.3, "volume": 54225, "typical_volume": 704799.15, "trend": 0.298883, "fair_value": 1.501083, "relative_strength": 0.17767, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.52704, "energy": 19.267445, "activity_lines": [ 0.295733, 0.3898, 0.382024, 0.345092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.299, "volume": 73308, "typical_volume": 699366.2, "trend": 0.301017, "fair_value": 1.433513, "relative_strength": -1.907946, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.49507, "energy": 19.723249, "activity_lines": [ 0.293333, 0.365309, 0.377221, 0.3451 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }