{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c79214cb-83e7-4de7-a524-afe138ae8c0b", "symbol": "BCG", "name": "Binah Capital Group, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.458, "architecture_energy": 70.284, "architecture_maturity": 53.178, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.09, "rotation_up": 23.02, "upward_expansion": 15.17, "deceleration": 40.02, "rotation_down": 61.76, "downward_expansion": 90.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.406, 1.451364, 1.570595, 1.699703 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.35, "trend_reference": 1.88638, "distance_from_trend": -0.284344, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.881169, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.53144, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.14559, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.425532, "excess_performance": -0.612986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.284344, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124357, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.53144, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.235655, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.401456, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245612, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.425532, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.151555, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84165, "relative_activity": 0.042704, "balance": 0.151555, "dry_up": 0.051646, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135026, "annualized_volatility": 0.652382, "from_high_reference": -0.607558, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.88638, "fair_value_reference": 2.881169, "structural_low": 1.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.032676, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.042335, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.666667, "worst_return": -0.275701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.120687, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.10294, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.610533, "worst_return": -0.369159, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.357785, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.385505, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.357785, "worst_return": 0.357785, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.334384, "energy": 64.806696, "activity_lines": [ 1.5066, 1.534618, 1.68059, 1.812766 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.36, "volume": 116799, "typical_volume": 1963980.5, "trend": 1.973713, "fair_value": 2.905451, "relative_strength": -37.57991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.787541, "energy": 69.43983, "activity_lines": [ 1.455067, 1.494745, 1.638148, 1.770956 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.45, "volume": 94799, "typical_volume": 1967830.5, "trend": 1.930713, "fair_value": 2.893618, "relative_strength": -33.201056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.01919, "energy": 59.812977, "activity_lines": [ 1.443533, 1.479964, 1.60799, 1.737168 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.35, "volume": 84165, "typical_volume": 1970889.45, "trend": 1.88638, "fair_value": 2.881169, "relative_strength": -40.14559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.458235, "energy": 70.283502, "activity_lines": [ 1.406, 1.451364, 1.570595, 1.699703 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }