{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c7946099-0315-4461-829a-af6f12d32d05",
    "symbol": "O39",
    "name": "Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.032,
    "architecture_energy": 95.671,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.797,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.17,
        "rotation_up": 89.18,
        "upward_expansion": 99.81,
        "deceleration": 39.06,
        "rotation_down": 8.11,
        "downward_expansion": 21.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.322666,
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        25.915061,
        24.6573
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 30.299999,
    "trend_reference": 23.161232,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.308221,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.825313,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.914654,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 24.573116,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.464835,
    "excess_performance": 0.31,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.308221,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133117,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.914654,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.407171,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.245731,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139212,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.464835,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.289127,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 36440700,
      "relative_activity": 1.417317,
      "balance": 7.289127,
      "dry_up": 1.32899,
      "accumulation_observations": 7,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035745,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.177851,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006557,
      "from_low_reference": 0.920843
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.161232,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.825313,
      "structural_low": 19.622903,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.020944,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01171,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.092187,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
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        "worst_return": -0.045548,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.029307,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 25654802.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 25199587.25,
        "trend": 22.467965,
        "fair_value": 15.583987,
        "relative_strength": 23.507292,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.129999,
        "volume": 32460290,
        "typical_volume": 25385751.75,
        "trend": 22.794286,
        "fair_value": 15.701276,
        "relative_strength": 22.053064,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.922711,
        "energy": 94.218501,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.299999,
        "volume": 36440700,
        "typical_volume": 25711048.85,
        "trend": 23.161232,
        "fair_value": 15.825313,
        "relative_strength": 24.573116,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}