{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c79f162e-76f1-4e38-8afc-5c3cc58b8ef0", "symbol": "1438", "name": "SanDi Properties Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.451, "architecture_energy": 20.573, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 57.051, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.56, "rotation_up": 24.94, "upward_expansion": 24.92, "deceleration": 51.66, "rotation_down": 33.08, "downward_expansion": 53.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.35, 22.29, 22.273572, 23.655807 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.200001, "trend_reference": 25.938334, "distance_from_trend": -0.144124, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 42.509627, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.477765, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -49.62955, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.283871, "excess_performance": -0.725243, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.144124, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127781, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.477765, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047071, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.496296, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114586, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.283871, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.072085, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121100, "relative_activity": 0.260061, "balance": 2.072085, "dry_up": 0.580451, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086625, "annualized_volatility": 0.463189, "from_high_reference": -0.461165, "from_low_reference": 0.162304 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.938334, "fair_value_reference": 42.509627, "structural_low": 19.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.018925, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.036704, "regime_survival": 0.933333, "best_return": 0.211886, "worst_return": -0.279438, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.104636, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.115981, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.124783, "worst_return": -0.270434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.065007, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.32132, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.098787, "worst_return": -0.371304, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.797063, "energy": 39.35093, "activity_lines": [ 21.83, 21.974546, 22.601905, 24.438925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.299999, "volume": 510100, "typical_volume": 459628.3, "trend": 26.67, "fair_value": 42.601041, "relative_strength": -46.244156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.019173, "energy": 31.420927, "activity_lines": [ 22.25, 22.249091, 22.525476, 24.198817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.35, "volume": 198572, "typical_volume": 464956.25, "trend": 26.296667, "fair_value": 42.55566, "relative_strength": -48.620056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.123074, "energy": 28.511833, "activity_lines": [ 22.32, 22.303636, 22.38881, 23.920108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 22.200001, "volume": 121100, "typical_volume": 465660.1, "trend": 25.938334, "fair_value": 42.509627, "relative_strength": -49.62955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.450625, "energy": 20.572533, "activity_lines": [ 22.35, 22.29, 22.273572, 23.655807 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }