{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c7a361c4-8d74-4add-95f2-19e1824ff70a",
    "symbol": "BAMNB",
    "name": "Koninklijke BAM Groep nv",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-10-09",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.416,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.698,
    "architecture_energy": 39.235,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.689,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.863,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.97,
        "rotation_up": 54.21,
        "upward_expansion": 75.21,
        "deceleration": 60.59,
        "rotation_down": 17.41,
        "downward_expansion": 4.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.928,
        11.794545,
        11.734333,
        11.402555
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 11.67,
    "trend_reference": 10.783937,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082165,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.166138,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.892595,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 8.38334,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.225856,
    "excess_performance": 0.106381,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082165,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093625,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.892595,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.328838,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083833,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135673,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.225856,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.321696,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3351271,
      "relative_activity": 1.592562,
      "balance": 1.321696,
      "dry_up": 1.692359,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058269,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.393617,
      "from_high_reference": -0.111196,
      "from_low_reference": 0.693957
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.783937,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.166138,
      "structural_low": 8.545,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.003189,
        "positive_rate": 0.514286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.514286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004891,
        "regime_survival": 0.685714,
        "best_return": 0.229709,
        "worst_return": -0.220454,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.186364,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.16112,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.202273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.221372,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
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        "typical_volume": 2191373.85,
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        "fair_value": 5.967782,
        "relative_strength": 14.207966,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 45.577499,
        "energy": 27.587558,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "close": 11.92,
        "volume": 3115449,
        "typical_volume": 2153225.3,
        "trend": 10.552047,
        "fair_value": 6.03278,
        "relative_strength": 13.672411,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 58.666555,
        "energy": 34.169853,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "close": 12.5,
        "volume": 4281572,
        "typical_volume": 2157121.25,
        "trend": 10.676738,
        "fair_value": 6.101989,
        "relative_strength": 17.97496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.047182,
        "energy": 47.765343,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.966,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "close": 11.67,
        "volume": 3351271,
        "typical_volume": 2104326.8,
        "trend": 10.783937,
        "fair_value": 6.166138,
        "relative_strength": 8.38334,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.697721,
        "energy": 39.235268,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}