{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7abee0c-08c7-46e7-a9e8-15a4424f830d", "symbol": "CAML3", "name": "Camil Alimentos S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.662, "architecture_energy": 73.981, "architecture_maturity": 30.155, "architecture_confidence": 88.752, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.34, "rotation_up": 13.31, "upward_expansion": 16.69, "deceleration": 38.92, "rotation_down": 69.69, "downward_expansion": 90.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.616, 4.774909, 5.128662, 5.408472 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.59, "trend_reference": 5.751433, "distance_from_trend": -0.201938, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.157675, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.254589, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.900829, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.301655, "excess_performance": -0.244606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201938, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032683, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.254589, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184952, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189008, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118671, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.301655, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.801044, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2961200, "relative_activity": 0.663611, "balance": 0.801044, "dry_up": 1.504645, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10141, "annualized_volatility": 0.524461, "from_high_reference": -0.37165, "from_low_reference": 0.14177 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.751433, "fair_value_reference": 6.157675, "structural_low": 4.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.025676, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.017643, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.230628, "worst_return": -0.254202, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.020045, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.000668, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.2032, "worst_return": -0.434554, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.155142, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.179359, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.391646, "worst_return": -0.42322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.767712, "energy": 52.47885, "activity_lines": [ 5.178, 5.214739, 5.555034, 5.744011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.35, "volume": 15589900, "typical_volume": 4563675.0, "trend": 5.838381, "fair_value": 6.194505, "relative_strength": -24.572069, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.324492, "energy": 60.844334, "activity_lines": [ 4.915333, 5.038806, 5.417575, 5.646105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.47, "volume": 5456000, "typical_volume": 4551260.0, "trend": 5.80931, "fair_value": 6.182416, "relative_strength": -22.242544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.487987, "energy": 66.958095, "activity_lines": [ 4.748, 4.911673, 5.302827, 5.557822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.69, "volume": 2849300, "typical_volume": 4486380.0, "trend": 5.785619, "fair_value": 6.170226, "relative_strength": -19.945496, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.176175, "energy": 54.096637, "activity_lines": [ 4.684667, 4.845213, 5.217735, 5.485608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.59, "volume": 2961200, "typical_volume": 4462250.0, "trend": 5.751433, "fair_value": 6.157675, "relative_strength": -18.900829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.66153, "energy": 73.980577, "activity_lines": [ 4.616, 4.774909, 5.128662, 5.408472 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }