{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7b550bc-2fab-44ac-b576-ebe0f1db2cd8", "symbol": "SVS", "name": "Savills plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 47.716, "architecture_energy": 65.087, "architecture_maturity": 11.716, "architecture_confidence": 74.07, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.54, "rotation_up": 78.48, "upward_expansion": 59.66, "deceleration": 12.66, "rotation_down": 14.45, "downward_expansion": 27.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 938.0, 913.818182, 882.65346, 884.708858 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 976.0, "trend_reference": 910.912732, "distance_from_trend": 0.071453, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 989.992745, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014134, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.180751, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.080696, "excess_performance": -0.131931, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071453, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034584, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014134, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118065, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.041808, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116893, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.080696, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.951842, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1548969, "relative_activity": 0.664354, "balance": 1.951842, "dry_up": 0.774217, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045231, "annualized_volatility": 0.295635, "from_high_reference": -0.132948, "from_low_reference": 0.233544 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 910.912732, "fair_value_reference": 989.992745, "structural_low": 791.215948, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.008098, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.007221, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.040248, "worst_return": -0.058794, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.011901, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005828, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.100103, "worst_return": -0.076301, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.023164, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.018031, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.149811, "worst_return": -0.103483, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.052008, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.047305, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.046843, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049603, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.088421, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", 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880.633725 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 976.0, "volume": 1548969, "typical_volume": 2331540.65, "trend": 910.912732, "fair_value": 989.992745, "relative_strength": -4.180751, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.716438, "energy": 65.08712, "activity_lines": [ 938.0, 913.818182, 882.65346, 884.708858 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }