{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c7b6fad3-c50f-4bac-8ff9-d573532a6001",
    "symbol": "RVT",
    "name": "Royce Value Trust Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.509,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.856,
    "architecture_energy": 36.661,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.734,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.382,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.57,
        "rotation_up": 47.31,
        "upward_expansion": 74.53,
        "deceleration": 64.43,
        "rotation_down": 22.64,
        "downward_expansion": 3.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        18.083086,
        17.841333
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 18.82,
    "trend_reference": 17.560927,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.071697,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.820905,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.361705,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.82628,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.090961,
    "excess_performance": -0.034664,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071697,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05632,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.361705,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029362,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018263,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042007,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090961,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.203602,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1068257,
      "relative_activity": 0.807942,
      "balance": 1.203602,
      "dry_up": 1.30932,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037857,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.195104,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003178,
      "from_low_reference": 0.355884
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.560927,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.820905,
      "structural_low": 15.624175,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.010554,
        "positive_rate": 0.53125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.53125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008265,
        "regime_survival": 0.71875,
        "best_return": 0.119816,
        "worst_return": -0.117407,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.079153,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.13731,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1335042.5,
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        "fair_value": 13.724158,
        "relative_strength": 2.483211,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 49.744579,
        "energy": 29.494097,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.09,
        "volume": 1143365,
        "typical_volume": 1315924.8,
        "trend": 17.474834,
        "fair_value": 13.770067,
        "relative_strength": 1.496274,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.322327,
        "energy": 20.806874,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.82,
        "volume": 1068257,
        "typical_volume": 1322195.8,
        "trend": 17.560927,
        "fair_value": 13.820905,
        "relative_strength": 1.82628,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.85613,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}