{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7bb47bd-fd25-493e-88c2-ce3d8e626469", "symbol": "LINC", "name": "Linc Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -13.508, "architecture_energy": 14.562, "architecture_maturity": 22.074, "architecture_confidence": 51.433, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.07, "rotation_up": 19.14, "upward_expansion": 20.4, "deceleration": 68.26, "rotation_down": 50.54, "downward_expansion": 34.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.649334, 105.022728, 103.649572, 103.274667 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 99.860001, "trend_reference": 103.831001, "distance_from_trend": -0.038245, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 135.920743, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.265307, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.939867, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.119323, "excess_performance": -0.075614, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.038245, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038709, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.265307, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010966, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099399, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000281, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.119323, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.319781, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111272, "relative_activity": 0.621758, "balance": 0.319781, "dry_up": 0.682527, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082824, "annualized_volatility": 0.311203, "from_high_reference": -0.27632, "from_low_reference": 0.174685 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.831001, "fair_value_reference": 135.920743, "structural_low": 85.010002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.027242, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.030851, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.291004, "worst_return": -0.110774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.027767, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.063975, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.29545, "worst_return": -0.271734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.045912, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.027423, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.331421, 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"relative_strength": -3.450029, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.051332, "energy": 39.523874, "activity_lines": [ 109.523334, 105.926364, 103.316001, 103.704065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 108.010002, "volume": 180151, "typical_volume": 179742.85, "trend": 105.091, "fair_value": 137.066465, "relative_strength": -3.071466, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.742439, "energy": 41.158984, "activity_lines": [ 109.628668, 106.677456, 103.855239, 103.883936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.669998, "volume": 75326, "typical_volume": 179359.3, "trend": 104.788667, "fair_value": 136.658709, "relative_strength": -5.219324, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.649972, "energy": 16.019404, "activity_lines": [ 107.308001, 106.414728, 103.882858, 103.727742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.190002, "volume": 121841, "typical_volume": 180936.5, "trend": 104.284, "fair_value": 136.294545, "relative_strength": -7.574604, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.219519, "energy": 4.819894, "activity_lines": [ 104.924668, 105.955819, 103.880763, 103.560087 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.860001, "volume": 111272, "typical_volume": 178963.65, "trend": 103.831001, "fair_value": 135.920743, "relative_strength": -9.939867, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.508051, "energy": 14.561871, "activity_lines": [ 102.649334, 105.022728, 103.649572, 103.274667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }