{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c7c4688f-d6e4-4843-a820-9969ea23d035",
    "symbol": "CAZ",
    "name": "CAZ (Thailand) Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.576,
    "architecture_energy": 66.189,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.28,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.058,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.83,
        "rotation_up": 69.9,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 65.38,
        "rotation_down": 15.05,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.357333,
        2.264,
        2.00219,
        1.865484
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.36,
    "trend_reference": 1.727667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.366004,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.509138,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.059438,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.237368,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.573333,
    "excess_performance": 0.381008,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.366004,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074197,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059438,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334908,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102374,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.387781,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.573333,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.121746,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2248500,
      "relative_activity": 0.823786,
      "balance": 3.121746,
      "dry_up": 1.305647,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076923,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.45818,
      "from_high_reference": -0.112782,
      "from_low_reference": 0.722628
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.727667,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.509138,
      "structural_low": 1.37,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.058888,
        "positive_rate": 0.1875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.1875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048641,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.519116,
        "worst_return": -0.2608,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.128222,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04858,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.225043,
        "worst_return": -0.261307,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.065327,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021381,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.484375,
        "worst_return": -0.376923,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.069231,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055967,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.449603,
        "worst_return": -0.18561,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.100559,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.215686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.130435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056995,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057971,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.130769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
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        "return": -0.120536,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 461495.0,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 463835.0,
        "trend": 1.595667,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 451165.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 18.417072,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 13345300,
        "typical_volume": 1088960.0,
        "trend": 1.603,
        "fair_value": 2.554903,
        "relative_strength": 1.566115,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 64.118768,
        "energy": 74.497416,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.24,
        "volume": 2694800,
        "typical_volume": 1193685.0,
        "trend": 1.618667,
        "fair_value": 2.54675,
        "relative_strength": 0.46596,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.503057,
        "energy": 96.342166,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.977333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.48,
        "volume": 18108800,
        "typical_volume": 2069635.0,
        "trend": 1.643,
        "fair_value": 2.540619,
        "relative_strength": 11.752148,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.11409,
        "energy": 97.665493,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.188667,
          1.948727,
          1.755524,
          1.689613
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.42,
        "volume": 7287100,
        "typical_volume": 2411405.0,
        "trend": 1.664333,
        "fair_value": 2.534224,
        "relative_strength": 8.923124,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.840044,
        "energy": 93.513408,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.319333,
          2.060182,
          1.829143,
          1.739742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.32,
        "volume": 4009500,
        "typical_volume": 2594905.0,
        "trend": 1.683667,
        "fair_value": 2.526704,
        "relative_strength": 4.935905,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.394865,
        "energy": 88.518567,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.36,
          2.138545,
          1.889286,
          1.782043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.32,
        "volume": 709800,
        "typical_volume": 2624090.0,
        "trend": 1.703,
        "fair_value": 2.518216,
        "relative_strength": 6.975497,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.857273,
        "energy": 82.875093,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.356,
          2.204182,
          1.945714,
          1.823097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.36,
        "volume": 2248500,
        "typical_volume": 2729470.0,
        "trend": 1.727667,
        "fair_value": 2.509138,
        "relative_strength": 10.237368,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.576364,
        "energy": 66.188891,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.357333,
          2.264,
          2.00219,
          1.865484
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}