{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7ceb6be-593e-4442-9787-f442fc36e471", "symbol": "DCM", "name": "DCM Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.808, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.313, "architecture_energy": 21.843, "architecture_maturity": 57.018, "architecture_confidence": 78.626, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.66, "rotation_up": 22.45, "upward_expansion": 57.56, "deceleration": 88.18, "rotation_down": 37.02, "downward_expansion": 21.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 87.814001, 91.471455, 89.521762, 85.479334 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 82.489998, "trend_reference": 82.509, "distance_from_trend": -0.00023, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 90.353333, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.087029, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.695476, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.053145, "excess_performance": -0.009436, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00023, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000271, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.087029, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013081, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056955, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019104, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.053145, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.299474, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39784, "relative_activity": 0.793311, "balance": 1.299474, "dry_up": 1.090937, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101681, "annualized_volatility": 0.473884, "from_high_reference": -0.214381, "from_low_reference": 0.499818 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.509, "fair_value_reference": 90.353333, "structural_low": 55.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.002755, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.018395, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.573171, "worst_return": -0.251377, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.021694, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04164, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 1.823958, "worst_return": -0.471668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.06393, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.121733, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.090625, "worst_return": -0.405787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.083673, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.209374, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.095497, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014894, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.002301, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, 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94.870364, 87.003762, 84.073527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 93.93, "volume": 93950, "typical_volume": 66019.2, "trend": 83.008, "fair_value": 90.200192, "relative_strength": 7.31288, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.584887, "energy": 50.309457, "activity_lines": [ 96.575334, 95.270727, 88.300762, 84.782065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 88.900002, "volume": 75985, "typical_volume": 66323.4, "trend": 82.887, "fair_value": 90.257885, "relative_strength": 4.379286, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.689567, "energy": 35.196559, "activity_lines": [ 93.877334, 94.542182, 89.042191, 85.162194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.050003, "volume": 9120, "typical_volume": 51415.55, "trend": 82.737334, "fair_value": 90.30468, "relative_strength": 1.054243, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.950725, "energy": 24.539534, "activity_lines": [ 91.429335, 93.562001, 89.616715, 85.495291 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 82.489998, "volume": 39784, "typical_volume": 50149.3, "trend": 82.509, "fair_value": 90.353333, "relative_strength": -5.695476, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.313062, "energy": 21.843039, "activity_lines": [ 87.814001, 91.471455, 89.521762, 85.479334 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }