{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7d1d050-9fe4-4c6b-bced-25e44f78d551", "symbol": "PTL", "name": "INSPIRE 500 ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.056, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.83, "architecture_energy": 34.155, "architecture_maturity": 40.025, "architecture_confidence": 84.384, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.59, "rotation_up": 38.27, "upward_expansion": 63.55, "deceleration": 92.88, "rotation_down": 26.65, "downward_expansion": 12.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 282.244333, 281.7997, 280.146601, 275.44339 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 288.625, "trend_reference": 269.534932, "distance_from_trend": 0.070826, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 229.707031, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.256492, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.840024, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.115089, "excess_performance": -0.010536, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070826, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042102, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.256492, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015996, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0084, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012306, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115089, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.534072, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97571, "relative_activity": 0.614148, "balance": 1.534072, "dry_up": 0.495437, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033061, "annualized_volatility": 0.134091, "from_high_reference": -0.012809, "from_low_reference": 0.240952 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 269.534932, "fair_value_reference": 229.707031, "structural_low": 241.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.006796, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.019881, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.006796, "worst_return": -0.006796, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.039051, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.032306, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.039051, "worst_return": 0.039051, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.128187, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.014916, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.128187, "worst_return": 0.128187, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"typical_volume": 160534.4, "trend": 266.471238, "fair_value": 228.406751, "relative_strength": -0.869237, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.342773, "energy": 31.149977, "activity_lines": [ 280.861328, 281.190374, 277.418198, 272.595463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 279.43, "volume": 54597, "typical_volume": 157866.75, "trend": 267.423156, "fair_value": 228.824974, "relative_strength": 0.434772, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.696642, "energy": 27.184624, "activity_lines": [ 280.094667, 280.941322, 278.187334, 273.431513 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 278.4, "volume": 81390, "typical_volume": 158372.5, "trend": 268.417744, "fair_value": 229.228023, "relative_strength": -1.003176, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.562335, "energy": 22.478276, "activity_lines": [ 279.391333, 280.428995, 278.745172, 274.139696 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 288.625, "volume": 97571, "typical_volume": 158872.0, "trend": 269.534932, "fair_value": 229.707031, "relative_strength": -0.840024, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.830221, "energy": 34.155049, "activity_lines": [ 282.244333, 281.7997, 280.146601, 275.44339 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }