{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c7d21a46-423c-43d6-a303-27c59eea0a44",
    "symbol": "COLG34",
    "name": "Colgate-Palmolive Company",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.796,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 17.268,
    "architecture_energy": 12.866,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.241,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.219,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.94,
        "rotation_up": 33.84,
        "upward_expansion": 35.03,
        "deceleration": 62.18,
        "rotation_down": 30.39,
        "downward_expansion": 19.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        65.9322,
        65.713513
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 67.769997,
    "trend_reference": 65.874845,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.028769,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 65.510045,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.034498,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.099059,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.020459,
    "excess_performance": 0.036589,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028769,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033545,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034498,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075155,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020991,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.218634,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020459,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.638178,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4531,
      "relative_activity": 0.876275,
      "balance": 2.638178,
      "dry_up": 2.153749,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044977,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.21864,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073303,
      "from_low_reference": 0.200947
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 65.510045,
      "structural_low": 58.099998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.008766,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008187,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
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        "worst_return": -0.095949,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.204019,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 63.194554,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 63.327036,
        "fair_value": 64.197484,
        "relative_strength": -12.573594,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.921927,
        "energy": 12.640985,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 5531.95,
        "trend": 63.502943,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": 6.128875,
        "energy": 7.92087,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 5582.5,
        "trend": 63.736797,
        "fair_value": 64.385776,
        "relative_strength": -7.349581,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 1079,
        "typical_volume": 5314.85,
        "trend": 63.925395,
        "fair_value": 64.486967,
        "relative_strength": -4.656201,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 235,
        "typical_volume": 5190.5,
        "trend": 64.130867,
        "fair_value": 64.586398,
        "relative_strength": -6.1527,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 64.281169,
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        "relative_strength": -2.216824,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 66.833069,
        "volume": 108,
        "typical_volume": 3711.15,
        "trend": 64.484673,
        "fair_value": 64.804753,
        "relative_strength": -3.158968,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.483972,
        "energy": 33.153581,
        "activity_lines": [
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          64.76269
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 70.552094,
        "volume": 41,
        "typical_volume": 3560.85,
        "trend": 64.842442,
        "fair_value": 64.940659,
        "relative_strength": 2.05784,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 65.704233,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 67.181107,
        "volume": 1825,
        "typical_volume": 3592.0,
        "trend": 65.0941,
        "fair_value": 65.057647,
        "relative_strength": -4.177007,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.612721,
        "energy": 57.593979,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 68.235168,
        "volume": 19994,
        "typical_volume": 4512.0,
        "trend": 65.3259,
        "fair_value": 65.178758,
        "relative_strength": 0.335062,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.037942,
        "energy": 57.129932,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.080702,
          67.082308,
          65.401212,
          65.507667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.93,
        "volume": 17208,
        "typical_volume": 5167.1,
        "trend": 65.467029,
        "fair_value": 65.294482,
        "relative_strength": -2.520249,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.564634,
        "energy": 42.773152,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.471417,
          67.013594,
          65.506561,
          65.546642
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 65.949997,
        "volume": 2813,
        "typical_volume": 5078.05,
        "trend": 65.666455,
        "fair_value": 65.398838,
        "relative_strength": -4.087814,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.536433,
        "energy": 11.362437,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.872653,
          66.914879,
          65.630736,
          65.577801
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 67.769997,
        "volume": 4531,
        "typical_volume": 5170.75,
        "trend": 65.874845,
        "fair_value": 65.510045,
        "relative_strength": 2.099059,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.267709,
        "energy": 12.865857,
        "activity_lines": [
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          65.9322,
          65.713513
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}