{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c7dbec0a-66c4-43ae-981a-20f8f968f11c",
    "symbol": "STGW",
    "name": "Stagwell Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.186,
    "architecture_energy": 87.118,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.952,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.33,
        "rotation_up": 81.29,
        "upward_expansion": 94.98,
        "deceleration": 42.15,
        "rotation_down": 9.97,
        "downward_expansion": 19.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.316,
        7.846,
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        6.966
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.17,
    "trend_reference": 6.533667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.4035,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.009487,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.525921,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 34.752175,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.77027,
    "excess_performance": 0.582817,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.4035,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131436,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.525921,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.443145,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.347522,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.347156,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.77027,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.14168,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13169322,
      "relative_activity": 1.859148,
      "balance": 3.14168,
      "dry_up": 1.067478,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080485,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.48845,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023949,
      "from_low_reference": 1.140023
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.533667,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.009487,
      "structural_low": 4.285,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.004637,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069759,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.231394,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.456022,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 6917236.1,
        "trend": 6.403,
        "fair_value": 5.987115,
        "relative_strength": 31.37297,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 83.168599,
        "energy": 80.298876,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.17,
        "volume": 13169322,
        "typical_volume": 7083525.2,
        "trend": 6.533667,
        "fair_value": 6.009487,
        "relative_strength": 34.752175,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}