{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7f982a0-a4b1-4a83-9259-6d57609fabfd", "symbol": "OR3", "name": "ORERESOURC FPO [OR3]", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.768, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.541, "architecture_energy": 14.719, "architecture_maturity": 35.579, "architecture_confidence": 76.465, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.38, "rotation_up": 16.3, "upward_expansion": 41.35, "deceleration": 78.33, "rotation_down": 42.2, "downward_expansion": 37.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.072933, 0.074436, 0.076952, 0.074667 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.073, "trend_reference": 0.071867, "distance_from_trend": 0.01577, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.049449, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.476277, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.05494, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.196721, "excess_performance": 0.133016, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01577, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07424, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.476277, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240944, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.130549, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.796975, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.196721, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.806727, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2146336, "relative_activity": 0.513884, "balance": 0.806727, "dry_up": 0.374041, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105374, "annualized_volatility": 0.692202, "from_high_reference": -0.304762, "from_low_reference": 2.173913 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.071867, "fair_value_reference": 0.049449, "structural_low": 0.045, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035714, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.074074, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.521739, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.311475, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.107692, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014286, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.557402, "energy": 19.985866, "activity_lines": [ 0.076667, 0.079782, 0.077371, 0.074142 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.072, "volume": 1353634, "typical_volume": 4582009.3, "trend": 0.0705, "fair_value": 0.050128, "relative_strength": 22.505314, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.700097, "energy": 16.345036, "activity_lines": [ 0.0748, 0.077745, 0.077214, 0.074275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.073, "volume": 1063847, "typical_volume": 4352471.2, "trend": 0.070967, "fair_value": 0.049891, "relative_strength": 22.793693, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.924824, "energy": 14.215121, "activity_lines": [ 0.0738, 0.076218, 0.077143, 0.074437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.073, "volume": 1685197, "typical_volume": 4296723.7, "trend": 0.071467, "fair_value": 0.049654, "relative_strength": 18.312631, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.535369, "energy": 14.382745, "activity_lines": [ 0.0732, 0.075164, 0.077062, 0.074568 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.073, "volume": 2146336, "typical_volume": 4176695.6, "trend": 0.071867, "fair_value": 0.049449, "relative_strength": 13.05494, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.541494, "energy": 14.719306, "activity_lines": [ 0.072933, 0.074436, 0.076952, 0.074667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }