{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7fa3721-aae8-494c-96ca-7bd30dee7d08", "symbol": "7530", "name": "Forward Science Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.456, "architecture_energy": 11.431, "architecture_maturity": 36.866, "architecture_confidence": 66.564, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.94, "rotation_up": 20.26, "upward_expansion": 40.61, "deceleration": 77.74, "rotation_down": 28.29, "downward_expansion": 29.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.583333, 37.344545, 38.906428, 37.212782 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 36.700001, "trend_reference": 33.417394, "distance_from_trend": 0.09823, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.917426, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22671, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.871105, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.936675, "excess_performance": 0.495303, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09823, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.30618, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22671, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032257, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078711, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184996, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.936675, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.699745, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 647526, "relative_activity": 0.184963, "balance": 0.699745, "dry_up": 0.288721, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164012, "annualized_volatility": 0.945681, "from_high_reference": -0.443939, "from_low_reference": 1.64982 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.417394, "fair_value_reference": 29.917426, "structural_low": 16.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.025773, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.005201, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.017544, "worst_return": -0.211207, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.260526, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.239242, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.260526, "worst_return": -0.260526, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.157895, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.180161, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.157895, "worst_return": -0.157895, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"blue", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.083095, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.036332, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.113559, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.262948, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.159892, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.069841, "active": false }, 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"volume": 794415, "typical_volume": 3842198.95, "trend": 31.352394, "fair_value": 30.208132, "relative_strength": 16.839942, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.713128, "energy": 12.724395, "activity_lines": [ 37.933333, 39.011818, 39.50119, 36.424965 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.700001, "volume": 1381199, "typical_volume": 3828076.15, "trend": 31.967394, "fair_value": 30.092747, "relative_strength": 2.470278, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.700468, "energy": 11.698173, "activity_lines": [ 36.056667, 37.686363, 39.02619, 36.511908 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.849998, "volume": 1219913, "typical_volume": 3715849.3, "trend": 32.71906, "fair_value": 29.996914, "relative_strength": 18.403695, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.628225, "energy": 12.889563, "activity_lines": [ 36.636666, 37.690909, 39.099285, 36.955947 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 36.700001, "volume": 647526, "typical_volume": 3500835.6, "trend": 33.417394, "fair_value": 29.917426, "relative_strength": 7.871105, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.455984, "energy": 11.430725, "activity_lines": [ 36.583333, 37.344545, 38.906428, 37.212782 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }