{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c7fa552c-ab43-4f54-a8d5-8ff8b3f2f8ef", "symbol": "YHGJ", "name": "Yunhong Green CTI Ltd.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.804, "architecture_energy": 29.126, "architecture_maturity": 29.315, "architecture_confidence": 83.949, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.92, "rotation_up": 12.41, "upward_expansion": 9.91, "deceleration": 51.75, "rotation_down": 56.77, "downward_expansion": 73.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.925713, 2.984558, 3.099242, 3.085929 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.0, "trend_reference": 3.129693, "distance_from_trend": -0.04144, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.830375, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.694823, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.101485, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.109792, "excess_performance": -0.297246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.04144, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140111, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.694823, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008749, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.361015, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086919, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.109792, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.787765, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33815, "relative_activity": 1.149298, "balance": 0.787765, "dry_up": 1.530693, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.176846, "annualized_volatility": 0.477295, "from_high_reference": -0.708455, "from_low_reference": 0.260504 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.129693, "fair_value_reference": 9.830375, "structural_low": 2.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.023213, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.004473, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.671233, "worst_return": -0.314433, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.183675, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.208599, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.630137, "worst_return": -0.489247, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.100059, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.229351, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.688701, "worst_return": -0.457143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.417716, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.474397, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.121986, "worst_return": -0.569232, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-05-26", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.195122, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2023-09-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.395349, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-09-29", "end": "2023-12-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.193472, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-01-05", "end": "2024-02-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.192513, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.177632, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.44945, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.623188, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001521, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.018692, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130763, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.203297, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.270833, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.082569, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 19.1, "volume": 94825, "typical_volume": 111331.0, "trend": 17.5685, "fair_value": 15.286852, "relative_strength": 21.167782, "stage": 2, "regime": 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"activity_lines": [ 3.121333, 3.235627, 3.17113, 3.18093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.0501, "volume": 13007, "typical_volume": 28022.05, "trend": 3.263017, "fair_value": 10.233331, "relative_strength": -40.978938, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.294199, "energy": 21.850512, "activity_lines": [ 3.0779, 3.192338, 3.169809, 3.163043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.97, "volume": 62324, "typical_volume": 30408.85, "trend": 3.220397, "fair_value": 10.124805, "relative_strength": -38.547285, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.345914, "energy": 24.389129, "activity_lines": [ 3.02776, 3.137211, 3.15943, 3.144139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.78, "volume": 58669, "typical_volume": 32019.75, "trend": 3.187063, "fair_value": 10.022113, "relative_strength": -40.119202, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.542455, "energy": 35.23789, "activity_lines": [ 2.942953, 3.057175, 3.12886, 3.115726 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.8889, "volume": 25338, "typical_volume": 29498.9, "trend": 3.163693, "fair_value": 9.922042, "relative_strength": -36.595511, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.753172, "energy": 33.548071, "activity_lines": [ 2.90778, 3.005847, 3.108663, 3.09649 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.0, "volume": 33815, "typical_volume": 29422.3, "trend": 3.129693, "fair_value": 9.830375, "relative_strength": -36.101485, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.804102, "energy": 29.126149, "activity_lines": [ 2.925713, 2.984558, 3.099242, 3.085929 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }