{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c808a9b1-1cc6-40cb-95f6-b65027091122", "symbol": "8416", "name": "Solidwizard Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 70.771, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.937, "architecture_energy": 14.033, "architecture_maturity": 15.378, "architecture_confidence": 72.189, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.2, "rotation_up": 31.86, "upward_expansion": 57.15, "deceleration": 80.72, "rotation_down": 30.01, "downward_expansion": 20.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 168.433333, 168.916465, 168.904592, 167.712532 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 169.0, "trend_reference": 167.212781, "distance_from_trend": 0.010688, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 148.285077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.139697, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.168866, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.000698, "excess_performance": -0.44207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010688, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001714, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.139697, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010155, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281689, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036768, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000698, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.914998, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9121, "relative_activity": 0.157478, "balance": 0.914998, "dry_up": 0.359224, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033821, "annualized_volatility": 0.151836, "from_high_reference": -0.071329, "from_low_reference": 0.098304 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 167.212781, "fair_value_reference": 148.285077, "structural_low": 158.637497, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.025316, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.006337, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.080906, "worst_return": -0.079167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.076607, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.014755, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.224138, "worst_return": -0.05, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.072437, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.046877, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.153605, "worst_return": 0.012734, 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168.633333, 169.96937, 168.395267, 167.537757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 167.0, "volume": 37003, "typical_volume": 58259.3, "trend": 167.600976, "fair_value": 147.632609, "relative_strength": -26.112844, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.426832, "energy": 8.156594, "activity_lines": [ 167.9, 169.325203, 168.454632, 167.491356 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 169.5, "volume": 22100, "typical_volume": 58613.3, "trend": 167.470791, "fair_value": 147.961838, "relative_strength": -26.152859, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.780916, "energy": 17.157679, "activity_lines": [ 168.266667, 169.096137, 168.721345, 167.613874 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 169.0, "volume": 9121, "typical_volume": 57919.35, "trend": 167.212781, "fair_value": 148.285077, "relative_strength": -28.168866, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.936659, "energy": 14.033391, "activity_lines": [ 168.433333, 168.916465, 168.904592, 167.712532 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }