{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c814b349-e8fe-4d6c-a3fe-8ffeb1982527",
    "symbol": "5GZ",
    "name": "HGH Holdings Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -13.685,
    "architecture_energy": 17.504,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.554,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.97,
        "rotation_up": 34.85,
        "upward_expansion": 21.7,
        "deceleration": 44.1,
        "rotation_down": 20.77,
        "downward_expansion": 58.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0168,
        0.0162,
        0.016486,
        0.017125
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.018,
    "trend_reference": 0.018433,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.023508,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.015788,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140073,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.189498,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.1,
    "excess_performance": -0.254835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023508,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.138629,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140073,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089802,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.281895,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128534,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.364141,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2996300,
      "relative_activity": 0.214439,
      "balance": 0.364141,
      "dry_up": 0.219993,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.064103,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.527097,
      "from_high_reference": -0.4,
      "from_low_reference": 0.285714
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.018433,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.015788,
      "structural_low": 0.014,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002111,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.181818,
        "worst_return": -0.117647,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029113,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.2,
        "worst_return": -0.230769,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.090909,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019257,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.3,
        "worst_return": -0.153846,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.161538,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.157299,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.4,
        "worst_return": -0.076923,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.272727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.071429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.071429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.142857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.0625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.136364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.208333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.052632,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 2087775.0,
        "trend": 0.012667,
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.017,
        "volume": 5312700,
        "typical_volume": 17543010.0,
        "trend": 0.0186,
        "fair_value": 0.015744,
        "relative_strength": -31.379318,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.80099,
        "energy": 28.896722,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.016067,
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          0.016371,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.018,
        "volume": 2996300,
        "typical_volume": 13972720.0,
        "trend": 0.018433,
        "fair_value": 0.015788,
        "relative_strength": -28.189498,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.684731,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}