{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c8155347-6882-4906-9d76-e7eabcbaab9e", "symbol": "DXB", "name": "Dimerix Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -7.093, "architecture_energy": 17.537, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 45.711, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.02, "rotation_up": 34.51, "upward_expansion": 27.93, "deceleration": 49.87, "rotation_down": 15.77, "downward_expansion": 47.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.255, 0.240273, 0.235143, 0.264667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.275, "trend_reference": 0.32, "distance_from_trend": -0.140625, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.377333, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.271201, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -34.919311, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.438776, "excess_performance": -0.502481, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.140625, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240206, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.271201, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139271, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.349193, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208761, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.438776, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.328106, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9702837, "relative_activity": 1.152415, "balance": 1.328106, "dry_up": 0.93556, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127273, "annualized_volatility": 1.104527, "from_high_reference": -0.586466, "from_low_reference": 0.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.32, "fair_value_reference": 0.377333, "structural_low": 0.165, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.047621, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.049922, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 1.846154, "worst_return": -0.443038, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.085783, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.048432, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.121212, "worst_return": -0.43632, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.083337, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.055551, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.787879, "worst_return": -0.483293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 8405322, "typical_volume": 8300308.4, "trend": 0.339, "fair_value": 0.37491, "relative_strength": -39.000392, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.503125, "energy": 26.431956, "activity_lines": [ 0.24, 0.223364, 0.234643, 0.274204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.245, "volume": 5371426, "typical_volume": 8223026.0, "trend": 0.328833, "fair_value": 0.376026, "relative_strength": -40.898084, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.035747, "energy": 27.118649, "activity_lines": [ 0.244333, 0.229455, 0.233214, 0.26814 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.275, "volume": 9702837, "typical_volume": 8419568.05, "trend": 0.32, "fair_value": 0.377333, "relative_strength": -34.919311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.092893, "energy": 17.536532, "activity_lines": [ 0.255, 0.240273, 0.235143, 0.264667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }