{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c82541af-67db-44de-af31-5405b0d31bea", "symbol": "CLA-B", "name": "Cloetta AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.397, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.065, "architecture_energy": 75.002, "architecture_maturity": 13.262, "architecture_confidence": 77.58, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.58, "rotation_up": 74.37, "upward_expansion": 90.29, "deceleration": 44.71, "rotation_down": 11.24, "downward_expansion": 19.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.601999, 53.847454, 52.340494, 51.548867 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 54.599998, "trend_reference": 50.055934, "distance_from_trend": 0.09078, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.040876, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.880108, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 12.147599, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.160942, "excess_performance": 0.099448, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09078, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110776, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.880108, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163279, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.121476, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137765, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.160942, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.568959, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1543614, "relative_activity": 0.964109, "balance": 0.568959, "dry_up": 1.146463, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057002, "annualized_volatility": 0.341199, "from_high_reference": -0.065069, "from_low_reference": 0.811819 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.055934, "fair_value_reference": 29.040876, "structural_low": 45.419998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.019115, "positive_rate": 0.612903, "directional_follow_through": 0.612903, "median_excess_return": 0.02291, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.215142, "worst_return": -0.086339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.071152, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.012725, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.287063, "worst_return": -0.085796, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.178871, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.083292, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.380673, "worst_return": -0.11811, "sufficient": true }, { 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49.497841 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.880001, "volume": 1181168, "typical_volume": 1714608.1, "trend": 47.814595, "fair_value": 28.021919, "relative_strength": 7.715357, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.037401, "energy": 9.572967, "activity_lines": [ 50.139334, 50.152546, 50.206366, 49.590205 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 56.75, "volume": 3053168, "typical_volume": 1771051.6, "trend": 48.402984, "fair_value": 28.277147, "relative_strength": 25.35312, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.862087, "energy": 54.34235, "activity_lines": [ 52.388001, 51.262182, 50.827368, 50.166683 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.549999, "volume": 1324093, "typical_volume": 1687674.2, "trend": 48.98665, "fair_value": 28.532282, "relative_strength": 21.907425, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.308785, "energy": 68.227726, "activity_lines": [ 54.102667, 52.273637, 51.40165, 50.692297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.25, "volume": 1421432, "typical_volume": 1635331.35, "trend": 49.586521, "fair_value": 28.795299, "relative_strength": 20.723112, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.142304, "energy": 74.930066, "activity_lines": [ 55.514, 53.354182, 52.014257, 51.225416 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.599998, "volume": 1543614, "typical_volume": 1601078.0, "trend": 50.055934, "fair_value": 29.040876, "relative_strength": 12.147599, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.064682, "energy": 75.001736, "activity_lines": [ 55.601999, 53.847454, 52.340494, 51.548867 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }