{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c834d561-8bf6-4d54-9d64-8edeb05c3803",
    "symbol": "OZF",
    "name": "SPDR ETFs Australia - State Street SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Financials EX A-REIT ETF",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 50.171,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.102,
    "architecture_energy": 80.502,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.478,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.701,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.67,
        "rotation_up": 85.19,
        "upward_expansion": 89.69,
        "deceleration": 33.08,
        "rotation_down": 6.1,
        "downward_expansion": 23.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        30.997049,
        30.501603,
        30.50774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 32.150002,
    "trend_reference": 30.445775,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055976,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.99615,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.236722,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.019038,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.086516,
    "excess_performance": 0.02281,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055976,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011807,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.236722,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019498,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01019,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003902,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086516,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.604703,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 74339,
      "relative_activity": 2.119028,
      "balance": 0.604703,
      "dry_up": 1.021617,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024232,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.172859,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013804,
      "from_low_reference": 0.1352
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.445775,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.99615,
      "structural_low": 28.393455,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.00359,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0148,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.031821,
        "worst_return": -0.046105,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.049906,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018875,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.091415,
        "worst_return": -0.114145,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.010513,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011632,
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        "worst_return": -0.077847,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.045588,
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.261253,
        "energy": 30.062299,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.068,
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          30.722526,
          30.431432
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 30.345818,
        "volume": 34510,
        "typical_volume": 35502.15,
        "trend": 30.221218,
        "fair_value": 24.897908,
        "relative_strength": 1.457246,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.027668,
        "energy": 22.123233,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.859273,
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          30.438559
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 30.405279,
        "volume": 19266,
        "typical_volume": 34745.5,
        "trend": 30.213956,
        "fair_value": 24.979201,
        "relative_strength": 1.409234,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.945394,
        "energy": 14.44096,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.671311,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 29.097099,
        "volume": 290052,
        "typical_volume": 47933.35,
        "trend": 30.168966,
        "fair_value": 25.050987,
        "relative_strength": -1.692382,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.359031,
        "energy": 26.427244,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.041604,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 29.860203,
        "volume": 15655,
        "typical_volume": 47547.9,
        "trend": 30.134392,
        "fair_value": 25.12929,
        "relative_strength": 0.543608,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.960795,
        "energy": 25.164354,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 49425.55,
        "trend": 30.090488,
        "fair_value": 25.205826,
        "relative_strength": -1.918808,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.580917,
        "energy": 41.707472,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 28.879068,
        "volume": 2167,
        "typical_volume": 49266.4,
        "trend": 30.028761,
        "fair_value": 25.280138,
        "relative_strength": -2.335447,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.418476,
        "energy": 54.332395,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 29.13674,
        "volume": 10237,
        "typical_volume": 49140.85,
        "trend": 30.019379,
        "fair_value": 25.353131,
        "relative_strength": -3.408394,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.401121,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 30.051317,
        "fair_value": 25.430224,
        "relative_strength": -2.127472,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.035139,
        "energy": 40.758499,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 29.681816,
        "volume": 3555,
        "typical_volume": 47996.55,
        "trend": 30.061084,
        "fair_value": 25.505338,
        "relative_strength": -1.044476,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.927383,
        "energy": 28.400875,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.421501,
          29.504429,
          30.019457,
          30.122361
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 30.17,
        "volume": 455,
        "typical_volume": 46935.95,
        "trend": 30.111941,
        "fair_value": 25.58551,
        "relative_strength": -0.321155,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -10.148763,
        "energy": 11.132551,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.700512,
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          30.129388
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 30.780001,
        "volume": 21880,
        "typical_volume": 47772.3,
        "trend": 30.164192,
        "fair_value": 25.665961,
        "relative_strength": 2.107286,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.048697,
        "energy": 18.32413,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.129829,
          29.796857,
          30.030521,
          30.172489
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 31.0,
        "volume": 14022,
        "typical_volume": 48075.55,
        "trend": 30.219205,
        "fair_value": 25.744815,
        "relative_strength": 2.891976,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.630944,
        "energy": 29.696462,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.505751,
          30.033631,
          30.095363,
          30.226412
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 31.209999,
        "volume": 18724,
        "typical_volume": 34521.75,
        "trend": 30.270441,
        "fair_value": 25.824333,
        "relative_strength": 3.740418,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.078916,
        "energy": 48.831904,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.827454,
          30.297774,
          30.184205,
          30.290334
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.83,
        "volume": 36275,
        "typical_volume": 35425.9,
        "trend": 30.339775,
        "fair_value": 25.909642,
        "relative_strength": 3.291938,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.496223,
        "energy": 66.993411,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.248,
          30.636228,
          30.330094,
          30.390951
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.150002,
        "volume": 74339,
        "typical_volume": 35081.65,
        "trend": 30.445775,
        "fair_value": 25.99615,
        "relative_strength": 1.019038,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.102475,
        "energy": 80.501889,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.632001,
          30.997049,
          30.501603,
          30.50774
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}