{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c83cd70d-a920-4833-b04a-afc792ed196a", "symbol": "IQDF", "name": "FLEXSHARES TRUST INTERNATIONAL QUALITY DIV IDX", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.014, "architecture_energy": 47.568, "architecture_maturity": 44.774, "architecture_confidence": 77.004, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.09, "rotation_up": 52.15, "upward_expansion": 76.96, "deceleration": 61.02, "rotation_down": 23.07, "downward_expansion": 5.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.880833, 34.666387, 34.281287, 33.746369 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.5945, "trend_reference": 33.125374, "distance_from_trend": 0.074539, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.232045, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.410686, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.964698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.092629, "excess_performance": -0.032996, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074539, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053822, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.410686, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019397, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019647, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02836, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092629, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.962964, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 184496, "relative_activity": 0.607562, "balance": 1.962964, "dry_up": 0.93501, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029152, "annualized_volatility": 0.171537, "from_high_reference": -0.000716, "from_low_reference": 0.320379 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.125374, "fair_value_reference": 25.232045, "structural_low": 30.106348, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.017771, "positive_rate": 0.638889, "directional_follow_through": 0.638889, "median_excess_return": -0.008446, "regime_survival": 0.805556, "best_return": 0.066805, "worst_return": -0.068791, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.036165, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.016419, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.097004, "worst_return": -0.066418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.069819, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.033709, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.162083, "worst_return": -0.006329, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 45.837415, "activity_lines": [ 34.50057, 34.322867, 33.706338, 33.234639 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.24, "volume": 329100, "typical_volume": 359497.55, "trend": 32.677723, "fair_value": 24.92929, "relative_strength": 2.494602, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.669925, "energy": 36.786088, "activity_lines": [ 34.397333, 34.332388, 33.81848, 33.345421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.26, "volume": 414253, "typical_volume": 350656.45, "trend": 32.816944, "fair_value": 25.023535, "relative_strength": 3.017141, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.020057, "energy": 30.967199, "activity_lines": [ 34.332, 34.345642, 33.92819, 33.447503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.82, "volume": 207875, "typical_volume": 311873.15, "trend": 32.965134, "fair_value": 25.125088, "relative_strength": 3.385548, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.699293, "energy": 38.242334, "activity_lines": [ 34.500667, 34.443607, 34.077553, 33.576733 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.5945, "volume": 184496, "typical_volume": 303666.2, "trend": 33.125374, "fair_value": 25.232045, "relative_strength": 1.964698, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.013781, "energy": 47.567698, "activity_lines": [ 34.880833, 34.666387, 34.281287, 33.746369 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }