{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c843e07f-44ff-4df3-a380-bbb5088b1cf9", "symbol": "200429", "name": "Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.582, "architecture_energy": 79.38, "architecture_maturity": 55.883, "architecture_confidence": 89.058, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.31, "rotation_up": 73.33, "upward_expansion": 93.95, "deceleration": 44.57, "rotation_down": 14.54, "downward_expansion": 18.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.808667, 9.713818, 9.530667, 9.374538 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.84, "trend_reference": 9.166, "distance_from_trend": 0.073533, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.264706, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.354494, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.183397, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.129736, "excess_performance": 0.122336, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073533, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038091, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.354494, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028788, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.071834, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208979, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129736, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.825947, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3641672, "relative_activity": 1.399659, "balance": 2.825947, "dry_up": 1.243334, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020638, "annualized_volatility": 0.096302, "from_high_reference": -0.006061, "from_low_reference": 0.236181 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.166, "fair_value_reference": 7.264706, "structural_low": 8.62, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"gate": "up", "direction": 76.082185, "energy": 57.449337, "activity_lines": [ 9.597333, 9.552364, 9.367048, 9.230086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.79, "volume": 2863373, "typical_volume": 2524040.0, "trend": 9.09, "fair_value": 7.201735, "relative_strength": 10.244768, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.545661, "energy": 62.5336, "activity_lines": [ 9.663333, 9.610545, 9.421762, 9.277656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.88, "volume": 3649237, "typical_volume": 2543028.7, "trend": 9.128333, "fair_value": 7.233625, "relative_strength": 13.062668, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.636663, "energy": 70.774658, "activity_lines": [ 9.758667, 9.672, 9.480381, 9.328624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.84, "volume": 3641672, "typical_volume": 2601827.1, "trend": 9.166, "fair_value": 7.264706, "relative_strength": 7.183397, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.582211, "energy": 79.379685, "activity_lines": [ 9.808667, 9.713818, 9.530667, 9.374538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }