{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c848c406-54c6-49a9-824d-26fd6c76932a",
    "symbol": "HWBK",
    "name": "Hawthorn Bancshares Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.701,
    "architecture_energy": 44.348,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.052,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.063,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.3,
        "rotation_up": 45.78,
        "upward_expansion": 74.62,
        "deceleration": 71.34,
        "rotation_down": 24.46,
        "downward_expansion": 5.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        36.833696
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 40.31,
    "trend_reference": 35.528513,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.134582,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.74893,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.506976,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.553281,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.17195,
    "excess_performance": -0.015504,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134582,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060469,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.506976,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038279,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045533,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074511,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17195,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.697166,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 91201,
      "relative_activity": 1.590469,
      "balance": 2.697166,
      "dry_up": 1.373395,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056489,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.230795,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006654,
      "from_low_reference": 0.444455
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 26.74893,
      "structural_low": 31.945197,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.000876,
        "positive_rate": 0.451613,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.005886,
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        "sufficient": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 33.916094,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 80.916991,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 45896.55,
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        "fair_value": 26.005852,
        "relative_strength": 2.747083,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 34.729849,
        "fair_value": 26.154007,
        "relative_strength": 1.683699,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.094753,
        "energy": 70.147799,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 39.14,
        "volume": 52569,
        "typical_volume": 49437.0,
        "trend": 34.833648,
        "fair_value": 26.304485,
        "relative_strength": 6.319952,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.594476,
        "energy": 57.887384,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.14,
          38.450243,
          36.992325,
          36.02595
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.34,
        "volume": 90851,
        "typical_volume": 52602.6,
        "trend": 35.05076,
        "fair_value": 26.447191,
        "relative_strength": 5.592318,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.351983,
        "energy": 40.711977,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.845333,
          38.575595,
          37.24057,
          36.252166
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.99,
        "volume": 80393,
        "typical_volume": 55491.75,
        "trend": 35.235523,
        "fair_value": 26.594182,
        "relative_strength": 6.535083,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.76307,
        "energy": 38.238529,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.820667,
          38.759509,
          37.522715,
          36.506311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.31,
        "volume": 91201,
        "typical_volume": 57342.2,
        "trend": 35.528513,
        "fair_value": 26.74893,
        "relative_strength": 4.553281,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.700642,
        "energy": 44.347808,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.318667,
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          36.833696
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}