{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c8493775-1a26-4987-b79a-ec6b8c8e1553", "symbol": "300662", "name": "Beijing Career International Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.275, "architecture_energy": 34.692, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.322, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.35, "rotation_up": 27.81, "upward_expansion": 18.8, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 35.07, "downward_expansion": 68.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.285333, 18.700956, 19.860458, 21.19612 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.620001, "trend_reference": 23.221799, "distance_from_trend": -0.112041, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.048854, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.176809, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.805067, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.306658, "excess_performance": -0.314057, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112041, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105364, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.176809, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117912, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.228051, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063897, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.306658, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.063095, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38603452, "relative_activity": 1.934738, "balance": 1.063095, "dry_up": 1.992536, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079534, "annualized_volatility": 0.325766, "from_high_reference": -0.419155, "from_low_reference": 0.238438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.221799, "fair_value_reference": 25.048854, "structural_low": 16.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.00247, "positive_rate": 0.484848, "directional_follow_through": 0.515152, "median_excess_return": 0.017515, "regime_survival": 0.787879, "best_return": 0.513472, "worst_return": -0.257797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.035714, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.053072, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.212581, "worst_return": -0.296613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.064356, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.070354, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.393901, "worst_return": -0.393497, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": -74.614829, "energy": 89.111711, "activity_lines": [ 17.798666, 18.974643, 20.923296, 22.41323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.209999, "volume": 24375080, "typical_volume": 15855229.25, "trend": 23.788466, "fair_value": 25.330621, "relative_strength": -35.957091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.454799, "energy": 78.672811, "activity_lines": [ 17.519333, 18.41202, 20.430562, 21.973307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.9, "volume": 43618940, "typical_volume": 16916626.9, "trend": 23.539133, "fair_value": 25.235592, "relative_strength": -32.661929, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.158551, "energy": 65.639843, "activity_lines": [ 17.602666, 18.113185, 20.050448, 21.593406 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.139999, "volume": 52429261, "typical_volume": 18821839.25, "trend": 23.378799, "fair_value": 25.139004, "relative_strength": -21.832813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.484638, "energy": 52.230068, "activity_lines": [ 18.465333, 18.342379, 19.920572, 21.374107 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.620001, "volume": 38603452, "typical_volume": 19952806.05, "trend": 23.221799, "fair_value": 25.048854, "relative_strength": -22.805067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.275138, "energy": 34.691565, "activity_lines": [ 19.285333, 18.700956, 19.860458, 21.19612 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }