{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c84bf1d5-24fb-469c-9be7-96fe91750f45", "symbol": "FLEXITUFF", "name": "Flexituff Ventures International Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -89.026, "architecture_energy": 95.389, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.154, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.12, "rotation_up": 8.46, "upward_expansion": 21.93, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 88.4, "downward_expansion": 99.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.299333, 4.947636, 5.724524, 6.224538 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 3.69, "trend_reference": 7.190333, "distance_from_trend": -0.486811, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.380897, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.895706, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -69.490953, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.625381, "excess_performance": -0.581672, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.486811, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304094, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.895706, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083678, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.69491, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069896, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.625381, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0809, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 324910, "relative_activity": 2.170378, "balance": 0.0809, "dry_up": 1.558411, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.178236, "annualized_volatility": 0.469803, "from_high_reference": -0.874873, "from_low_reference": 0.036517 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.190333, "fair_value_reference": 35.380897, "structural_low": 3.56, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.107914, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": -0.117081, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 1.355279, "worst_return": -0.376137, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.170612, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.183635, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.873905, "worst_return": -0.472857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.108142, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.099502, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.922787, "worst_return": -0.625381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.001951, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.429173, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007741, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.149032, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.129719, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-06-27", 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-63.101763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.244474, "energy": 88.105213, "activity_lines": [ 5.434, 5.987455, 6.35981, 6.920258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.58, "volume": 175183, "typical_volume": 133193.0, "trend": 7.766667, "fair_value": 35.72391, "relative_strength": -63.49548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.645918, "energy": 92.673309, "activity_lines": [ 5.048, 5.668182, 6.17081, 6.693183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.3, "volume": 280617, "typical_volume": 141866.05, "trend": 7.487333, "fair_value": 35.552115, "relative_strength": -65.269139, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.446091, "energy": 93.161079, "activity_lines": [ 4.716667, 5.338909, 5.970524, 6.469527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.69, "volume": 324910, "typical_volume": 149702.0, "trend": 7.190333, "fair_value": 35.380897, "relative_strength": -69.490953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.026174, "energy": 95.389313, "activity_lines": [ 4.299333, 4.947636, 5.724524, 6.224538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }