{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c85aa4e9-5cc8-4c51-8890-5d8dccb9ce1b", "symbol": "GCP", "name": "GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.784, "architecture_energy": 64.426, "architecture_maturity": 28.907, "architecture_confidence": 83.547, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.85, "rotation_up": 69.23, "upward_expansion": 87.44, "deceleration": 50.42, "rotation_down": 16.55, "downward_expansion": 11.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.813373, 0.804306, 0.783517, 0.769462 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.818, "trend_reference": 0.752989, "distance_from_trend": 0.086337, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.652824, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253018, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.197567, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.123514, "excess_performance": 0.072278, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086337, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049915, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.253018, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084592, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.041976, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038856, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.123514, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.049042, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12381039, "relative_activity": 1.373214, "balance": 4.049042, "dry_up": 1.119912, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030703, "annualized_volatility": 0.102373, "from_high_reference": -0.023961, "from_low_reference": 0.243879 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.752989, "fair_value_reference": 0.652824, "structural_low": 0.687396, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.005667, "positive_rate": 0.608696, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": 0.001611, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.080492, "worst_return": -0.043613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.021474, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.003477, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.109006, "worst_return": -0.095427, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.017504, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026247, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.20185, "worst_return": -0.042535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-31", "close": 0.817521, "volume": 8116691, "typical_volume": 9428238.7, "trend": 0.749419, "fair_value": 0.651215, "relative_strength": 4.346423, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.110473, "energy": 70.364461, "activity_lines": [ 0.808709, 0.799362, 0.777955, 0.765037 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.818, "volume": 12381039, "typical_volume": 9016101.25, "trend": 0.752989, "fair_value": 0.652824, "relative_strength": 4.197567, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.784414, "energy": 64.42551, "activity_lines": [ 0.813373, 0.804306, 0.783517, 0.769462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }