{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c85d310d-8947-40b5-815e-6721d236eaff", "symbol": "001207", "name": "Shandong Link Science and Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.174, "architecture_energy": 49.344, "architecture_maturity": 28.507, "architecture_confidence": 93.272, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.95, "rotation_up": 21.65, "upward_expansion": 7.47, "deceleration": 52.16, "rotation_down": 56.08, "downward_expansion": 80.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.214667, 15.430909, 16.666363, 17.507533 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.58, "trend_reference": 18.298858, "distance_from_trend": -0.148581, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.864053, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.123769, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.119865, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.200477, "excess_performance": -0.207876, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.148581, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010005, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.123769, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226375, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141199, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018506, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.200477, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.85717, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13190999, "relative_activity": 0.447779, "balance": 0.85717, "dry_up": 0.66095, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107436, "annualized_volatility": 0.489316, "from_high_reference": -0.353721, "from_low_reference": 0.110478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.298858, "fair_value_reference": 13.864053, "structural_low": 14.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.105522, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.083999, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.399235, "worst_return": 0.00581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.375209, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.167225, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.643773, "worst_return": 0.141949, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.238603, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.306876, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.763149, "worst_return": 0.10527, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.052245, "energy": 79.602742, "activity_lines": [ 14.938667, 15.76, 17.171989, 17.882415 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.42, "volume": 15211780, "typical_volume": 32172872.45, "trend": 18.373369, "fair_value": 13.837196, "relative_strength": -11.088549, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.002374, "energy": 59.315691, "activity_lines": [ 15.064667, 15.543455, 16.896541, 17.68775 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.58, "volume": 13190999, "typical_volume": 29458729.7, "trend": 18.298858, "fair_value": 13.864053, "relative_strength": -14.119865, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.17441, "energy": 49.343666, "activity_lines": [ 15.214667, 15.430909, 16.666363, 17.507533 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }