{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c862f839-1866-441e-bdd4-eeb57b6ae8a9", "symbol": "8105", "name": "Giantplus Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 67.462, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -35.049, "architecture_energy": 34.188, "architecture_maturity": 50.328, "architecture_confidence": 57.303, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.73, "rotation_up": 14.33, "upward_expansion": 20.68, "deceleration": 67.54, "rotation_down": 69.38, "downward_expansion": 41.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.573333, 16.878182, 17.729524, 16.937849 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 13.8, "trend_reference": 15.735, "distance_from_trend": -0.122974, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.378422, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040228, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.521738, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.15, "excess_performance": -0.195732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122974, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161826, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040228, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.279634, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275217, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171976, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.15, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.58675, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50517660, "relative_activity": 1.112767, "balance": 2.58675, "dry_up": 0.484264, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.203735, "annualized_volatility": 0.593185, "from_high_reference": -0.464078, "from_low_reference": 0.359606 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.735, "fair_value_reference": 14.378422, "structural_low": 11.9, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.021186, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.012135, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.160173, "worst_return": -0.077193, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.01723, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.060734, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.11017, "worst_return": -0.112462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.102328, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.155885, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.211865, "worst_return": -0.193257, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"gate": "up", "direction": 34.193883, "energy": 23.877911, "activity_lines": [ 18.533333, 19.672727, 18.209286, 16.911075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.75, "volume": 17064978, "typical_volume": 43233177.15, "trend": 15.505, "fair_value": 14.365778, "relative_strength": -15.725818, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.037158, "energy": 23.021678, "activity_lines": [ 17.236667, 18.938182, 18.118333, 16.936237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.4, "volume": 9298876, "typical_volume": 42941258.7, "trend": 15.673333, "fair_value": 14.369775, "relative_strength": -13.66457, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.023533, "energy": 25.157885, "activity_lines": [ 16.616667, 18.351818, 18.075, 16.993978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 16.75, "volume": 11057517, "typical_volume": 43180650.95, "trend": 15.746667, "fair_value": 14.378214, "relative_strength": -14.117998, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.375698, "energy": 20.214328, "activity_lines": [ 16.47, 17.85, 18.051429, 17.063441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 13.8, "volume": 50517660, "typical_volume": 45398251.2, "trend": 15.735, "fair_value": 14.378422, "relative_strength": -27.521738, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.048955, "energy": 34.187957, "activity_lines": [ 15.573333, 16.878182, 17.729524, 16.937849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }